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    Matt Severance

    Severance Pays

    Matt Severance is a well-connected writer and high-volume handicapper who has worked in the industry since 2005. After joining SportsLine, Matt quickly established himself as a top expert in multiple sports. Over the past three MLB seasons, Matt is up $2,395 for $100 bettors. Over the past two NBA seasons, Matt has returned $3,215. And over the past four college basketball seasons, Matt is up $887. He went 103-89-2 (plus $665) in the 2023 college football season and 121-93-2 (plus $589) in the 2023 NFL season. Matt believes in buying points in football to get off a push number like 3 or 7. He understands that oddsmakers don't do as much homework on lower-tier FBS games, creating betting opportunities. And he says homefield advantage is underrated in some markets and overrated in others. For Matt Severance media inquiries, contact SportsLine@CBSInteractive.com.

    @jordanpaytonsn1
    LAST 257 NBA PICKS
    +2544.25
    RECORD: 160-97-0
    # 3 NBA EXPERT
    +2544.25
    160-97 IN LAST 257 NBA PICKS

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    Matt's Picks (4 Live)

    May 07 2024, 2:00 am UTC
    League
    Minnesota
    @ Denver
    Matt's PickSubscribers Only
    Unit0.5
    +2544.25
    160-97 in Last 257 NBA Picks
    +145
    3-2 in Last 5 NBA ATS Picks
    +230
    10-7 in Last 17 DEN ATS Picks
    Analysis:

    Will Rudy Gobert play for the Timberwolves in Denver? ...

    Pick Made: Mon 10:06 pm UTC
    May 07 2024, 10:45 pm UTC
    League
    Baltimore
    @ Washington
    Matt's PickSubscribers Only
    Unit0.5
    +1787.75
    129-68-1 in Last 198 MLB Picks
    +368
    8-3 in Last 11 WAS ATS Picks
    Analysis:

    Trevor Williams has been a huge early surprise for Washington. ...

    Pick Made: 2:26 am UTC
    May 07 2024, 11:00 pm UTC
    League
    Carolina
    @ N.Y. Rangers
    Matt's PickSubscribers Only
    Unit1.0
    +1942
    49-22 in Last 71 CAR ML Picks
    Analysis:

    The Rangers try for a 2-0 lead over the Hurricanes. ...

    Pick Made: Mon 8:50 pm UTC
    May 08 2024, 12:40 am UTC
    League
    San Francisco
    @ Colorado
    Matt's PickSubscribers Only
    Unit0.5
    +1787.75
    129-68-1 in Last 198 MLB Picks
    +1001.5
    41-30 in Last 71 COL ATS Picks
    Analysis:

    The Giants could be in a trap Tuesday in Denver. ...

    Pick Made: Mon 9:49 pm UTC

    Matt's Past Picks

    May 07 2024, 12:00 am UTC
    League
    Boston
    5
    @ Florida
    1
    +129
    5-3 in Last 8 FLA ML Picks
    Analysis:

    Boston was 4-0 vs. Florida this season and eyes payback for last year's first round upset loss, but the Bruins are turning around and playing essentially 48 hours after a very hard-fought first-round series took seven games against Toronto. Florida has been off for a week since ousting Tampa Bay in five. Yeah, the Panthers might be a bit rusty out of the gate, but I can see the B's wearing down as the game goes on.

    Pick Made: Mon 1:05 pm UTC
    May 06 2024, 11:45 pm UTC
    League
    N.Y. Mets
    4
    @ St. Louis
    3
    +1787.75
    129-68-1 in Last 198 MLB Picks
    +657.25
    17-4-1 in Last 22 MLB O/U Picks
    +400
    7-0 in Last 7 STL O/U Picks
    Analysis:

    Gonna throw a bit down simply as Pete Alonso is getting the night off for the Mets and he's obviously capable of a three-run homer at any time. New York pitcher Sean Manaea has a 1.84 ERA on the road, while the Cards' Kyle Gibson has allowed just one earned run in three straight.

    Pick Made: Mon 9:16 pm UTC
    May 06 2024, 11:40 pm UTC
    League
    Seattle
    1
    @ Minnesota
    3
    +631.75
    26-6 in Last 32 MLB Player Props Picks
    Analysis:

    Castillo has allowed just four earned runs combined over his past four starts and the winds will be blowing in today quite a bit at Target Field. Thought about Over 17.5 outs but that's up to nearly -180.

    Pick Made: Mon 1:16 pm UTC
    May 06 2024, 11:10 pm UTC
    League
    Milwaukee
    2
    @ Kansas City
    3
    +1787.75
    129-68-1 in Last 198 MLB Picks
    +657.25
    17-4-1 in Last 22 MLB O/U Picks
    Analysis:

    DraftKings has 8 for this game so definitely shop around depending on your lean, but 9 does feel a tad high considering it's Royals ace Cole Ragans on the hill. No Brewers have faced him in a regular-season game. Ragans has allowed one earned or fewer in three of his past four. Milwaukee is nothing special offensively, especially with Christian Yelich out, and was blanked Sunday in Chicago. Converted reliever Bryse Wilson has a 1.93 ERA as a starter this year for the Brew Crew compared to 4.50 out of the pen.

    Pick Made: Sun 9:24 pm UTC
    May 06 2024, 10:50 pm UTC
    League
    Chi. White Sox
    2
    @ Tampa Bay
    8
    +1787.75
    129-68-1 in Last 198 MLB Picks
    +654.25
    50-30 in Last 80 MLB ML Picks
    +876
    30-11 in Last 41 TB ML Picks
    Analysis:

    This used to be the one series a year I'd go to the dump that is Tropicana Field because I wanted to see the White Sox. Even if I still lived in the Tampa area, which I don't, I wouldn't pay a nickel to see anything Jerry Reinsdorf owns at the moment. Major payback spot for the Rays off their embarrassing sweep in Chicago late last month. Josh Lowe has been activated off the IL for TB to make his season debut. He had a breakout 2023 season. Also the season debut for Sox pitcher Mike Clevinger. Might prefer him to the Rays' Tyler Alexander, but Clevinger won't be out there more than five innings.

    Pick Made: Mon 8:14 pm UTC
    May 05 2024, 11:30 pm UTC
    League
    Vegas
    1
    @ Dallas
    2
    +573
    18-7 in Last 25 LV ML Picks
    Analysis:

    I'll very rarely back a road game in a Game 7 in any sport. Dallas has played better defensively on home ice in this series (1.97 expected goals against at 5-on-5) than on the road (2.33). Since a 3-1 loss in Game 2, Stars netminder Jake Oettinger has posted an overall stellar save percentage of .944, including .960 in a Game 6 loss. Trust him a little more than counterpart Adin Hill. Stars forward Joe Pavelski (7-3) and head coach Peter DeBoer (7-0) can both match the NHL record for career Game 7 wins, a mark currently shared by six skaters and one coach.

    Pick Made: Sun 7:57 pm UTC
    May 05 2024, 6:15 pm UTC
    League
    Chi. White Sox
    5
    @ St. Louis
    1
    +631.75
    26-6 in Last 32 MLB Player Props Picks
    Analysis:

    Marty is on fire, up to .113 on the season! He actually has back-to-back games with hits. Hang on, I'm going to go look at this pig flying over my neighborhood.

    Pick Made: Sun 3:44 pm UTC
    May 05 2024, 6:15 pm UTC
    League
    Chi. White Sox
    5
    @ St. Louis
    1
    +1787.75
    129-68-1 in Last 198 MLB Picks
    +654.25
    50-30 in Last 80 MLB ML Picks
    +820.5
    58-32 in Last 90 CHW ML Picks
    Analysis:

    My bad for not checking who the home plate umpire was Saturday in this matchup. Perhaps if I had known it was CB Bucknor I would have reconsidered. What a joke. The Sox used essentially every reliever they have so might be thin behind Garrett Crochet. Dylan Carlson has been activated off the IL for the Cards to make his season debut. They have been getting almost no offensive production from their outfielders so Carlson can only help.

    Pick Made: Sun 3:48 pm UTC
    May 05 2024, 6:10 pm UTC
    League
    Seattle
    5
    @ Houston
    4
    +631.75
    26-6 in Last 32 MLB Player Props Picks
    Analysis:

    Managers want to let their starting pitchers go at least five full to qualify for a win. Brown hasn't been very good this season and only gone at least five twice but I have faith. The first inning will tell us a lot as to whether he has any control.

    Pick Made: Sun 3:02 pm UTC
    May 05 2024, 5:40 pm UTC
    League
    L.A. Angels
    1
    @ Cleveland
    4
    +1787.75
    129-68-1 in Last 198 MLB Picks
    +654.25
    50-30 in Last 80 MLB ML Picks
    +1432.5
    41-17 in Last 58 CLE ML Picks
    Analysis:

    Can't say I think much of Guardians pitcher Carlos Carrasco but that Angels lineup looks really weak today with the likes of Luis Rengifo and Logan O'Hoppe out -- plus of course Mike Trout is on the IL. Pitcher Griffin Canning is 0-3 with an 8.16 ERA on the road.

    Pick Made: Sun 4:51 pm UTC
    May 05 2024, 5:00 pm UTC
    League
    Orlando
    94
    @ Cleveland
    106
    +2544.25
    160-97 in Last 257 NBA Picks
    +2495
    104-49 in Last 153 NBA ML Picks
    +2334
    43-10 in Last 53 CLE ML Picks
    Analysis:

    Look, I don't want to be one of those grumpy old men (ain't that old) but if Jarrett Allen can't play in a winner-take-all, whatever man. Hockey player it up. Course, I also remember Scottie Pippen being ... I'll bite my tongue. He deserved Larsa let's just say that. Love to give more high-def information but this is simply a home play.

    Pick Made: May 04, 4:45 am UTC