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    Matt Severance

    Severance Pays

    Matt Severance is a well-connected writer and high-volume handicapper who has worked in the industry since 2005. After joining SportsLine, Matt quickly established himself as a top expert in multiple sports. Over the past three MLB seasons, Matt is up $2,395 for $100 bettors. Over the past two NBA seasons, Matt has returned $3,215. And over the past four college basketball seasons, Matt is up $887. He went 103-89-2 (plus $665) in the 2023 college football season and 121-93-2 (plus $589) in the 2023 NFL season. Matt believes in buying points in football to get off a push number like 3 or 7. He understands that oddsmakers don't do as much homework on lower-tier FBS games, creating betting opportunities. And he says homefield advantage is underrated in some markets and overrated in others. For Matt Severance media inquiries, contact SportsLine@CBSInteractive.com.

    @jordanpaytonsn1
    LAST 253 NBA PICKS
    +2271.25
    RECORD: 157-96-0
    # 3 NBA EXPERT
    +2271.25
    157-96 IN LAST 253 NBA PICKS

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    Matt's Picks (4 Live)

    May 02 2024, 4:10 pm UTC
    League
    Colorado
    @ Miami
    Matt's PickSubscribers Only
    Unit0.5
    +1375.25
    113-62-1 in Last 176 MLB Picks
    +502.25
    44-27 in Last 71 MLB ML Picks
    +560.5
    9-3 in Last 12 MIA ML Picks
    Analysis:

    The Marlins try for the sweep of the Rockies. ...

    Pick Made: 2:03 pm UTC
    May 02 2024, 5:05 pm UTC
    League
    N.Y. Yankees
    @ Baltimore
    Matt's PickSubscribers Only
    Unit0.5
    +1375.25
    113-62-1 in Last 176 MLB Picks
    +311.5
    27-19 in Last 46 NYY ATS Picks
    Analysis:

    The Yankees try for a split in Baltimore. ...

    Pick Made: 3:11 pm UTC
    May 03 2024, 12:00 am UTC
    League
    Boston
    @ Toronto
    Matt's PickSubscribers Only
    Unit1.0
    +642.5
    9-3 in Last 12 NHL O/U Picks
    +865
    14-3-3 in Last 20 TOR O/U Picks
    Analysis:

    Auston Matthews is out for Toronto vs. Boston. ...

    Pick Made: 4:44 pm UTC
    May 03 2024, 1:00 am UTC
    League
    New York
    @ Philadelphia
    Matt's PickSubscribers Only
    Unit0.5
    +2271.25
    157-96 in Last 253 NBA Picks
    +2222
    101-48 in Last 149 NBA ML Picks
    +1843.5
    43-14 in Last 57 PHI ML Picks
    Analysis:

    Can the Sixers force a Game 7 vs. the Knicks? ...

    Pick Made: 2:07 pm UTC

    Matt's Past Picks

    May 02 2024, 2:00 am UTC
    League
    Los Angeles
    3
    @ Edmonton
    4
    +1257.5
    42-22 in Last 64 NHL ATS Picks
    +665
    11-3 in Last 14 LA ATS Picks
    Analysis:

    If the Kings had started David Rittich before Game 4 in net, maybe they aren't facing elimination on Wednesday. Maybe if I was taller, I'd be in the NBA (probably not). I'm assuming Rittich again here, and he played well Sunday in the 1-0 loss but also only faced 13 Oilers shots. I guarantee you at least double that many for Edmonton back home. Instead of -195 on the ML, let's do this great price on the puckline because if the Kings are down a goal with about five minutes left, they probably pull Rittich that early with the season on the line (as opposed to the final minute or so of a regular season game), and the Oilers can theoretically pile on.

    Pick Made: Tue 8:13 pm UTC
    May 02 2024, 1:40 am UTC
    League
    L.A. Dodgers
    8
    @ Arizona
    0
    +1375.25
    113-62-1 in Last 176 MLB Picks
    +512.25
    13-3-1 in Last 17 MLB O/U Picks
    +411
    9-5 in Last 14 ARI O/U Picks
    Analysis:

    Only 9 left on our board is at DraftKings, and runs should be at a premium with Yoshinobu Yamamoto (0.00 ERA in two road starts) opposed by Jordan Montgomery -- Monty was supposed to pitch last night but was scratched when the game was delayed for a while at the start due to a hive of bees behind home plate. Reminds of a Little League game I had canceled due to bats (the vampiric kind not the hitting instrument).

    Pick Made: Wed 1:29 pm UTC
    May 02 2024, 12:10 am UTC
    League
    Cleveland
    3
    @ Houston
    2
    +1375.25
    113-62-1 in Last 176 MLB Picks
    +502.25
    44-27 in Last 71 MLB ML Picks
    +1382.5
    40-17 in Last 57 CLE ML Picks
    Analysis:

    Justin Verlander looks just fine at age 41 for Houston, while Cleveland's Triston McKenzie (4.91 ERA) has seen a big drop in velo since his last fully healthy 2022 season. And the bullpen behind him is super-thin as the Guardians' top three high-leverage guys led by closer Emmanuel Clase have pitched three of the past four days so are probably all unavailable. Thus, we will avoid first five.

    Pick Made: Wed 8:56 pm UTC
    May 01 2024, 11:30 pm UTC
    League
    Vegas
    2
    @ Dallas
    3
    +106
    29-18 in Last 47 NHL Picks
    +473
    17-7 in Last 24 LV ML Picks
    Analysis:

    Surprising decision by Vegas coach Bruce Cassidy to bench No. 1 goalie Logan Thompson tonight for Adin Hill, the 2023 playoff hero. Thompson has been very good in this series with a 2.35 GAA and .921 SV but the Knights have dropped the past two. Partly due to injury/illness and also obviously due to Thompson, Hill has played in only three of the Knights' last 16 contests (last on April 18) in which he was 1-2 with a 3.68 GAA. Seems like a panic decision and at some point, the home team is winning a game. Stars goaltender Jake Oettinger has allowed exactly two goals in the past three games and if he does again, I'll take my chances.

    Pick Made: Wed 7:40 pm UTC
    May 01 2024, 7:40 pm UTC
    League
    Atlanta
    5
    @ Seattle
    2
    +1375.25
    113-62-1 in Last 176 MLB Picks
    +502.25
    44-27 in Last 71 MLB ML Picks
    +647
    48-29 in Last 77 ATL ML Picks
    Analysis:

    The Braves haven't been swept this season and I'm sure would prefer not to be. Their offense has gone to sleep of late but I think wakes up some today vs. M's rookie Emerson Hancock. ATL's Chris Sale has been quite strong other than one start. One good thing about this series so far is that Atlanta has not used any of its high-leverage relievers so they are all ready to go today. Mariners closer Andres Munoz pitched 1.2 innings last night and thus surely is not available. Because of the state of the bullpens, I opted not to do first five.

    Pick Made: Wed 4:56 pm UTC
    May 01 2024, 5:10 pm UTC
    League
    Tampa Bay
    1
    @ Milwaukee
    7
    +1375.25
    113-62-1 in Last 176 MLB Picks
    +518
    26-16 in Last 42 MIL ATS Picks
    Analysis:

    This series has been good to us so far. Really think the books continue to overvalue the Rays -- this is not the same club that made the playoffs each of the past five seasons. Also the end of a six-game trip for Tampa Bay ahead of the longest homestand of the season, so perhaps a natural letdown spot. Zach Eflin is 0-2 with a 4.76 ERA on the road. His 2023 season continues to look like a massive fluke.

    Pick Made: Wed 3:08 pm UTC
    May 01 2024, 5:10 pm UTC
    League
    St. Louis
    1
    @ Detroit
    4
    +1375.25
    113-62-1 in Last 176 MLB Picks
    +512.25
    13-3-1 in Last 17 MLB O/U Picks
    +375
    6-0 in Last 6 STL O/U Picks
    Analysis:

    Did not think this would get to 9 (ESPNBet has 9.5) and while I don't love it will play a little simply as getaway games in Detroit tend to be lower scoring and the winds are blowing in from right field a fair amount. Tigers pitcher Kenta Maeda has a 5.96 ERA but comes off his best outing of the season and has been very solid in three of his past four overall. Interesting (to me anyways) fact about Cards pitcher Miles Mikolas. He is one of 13 active MLB pitchers with 180 appearances and 150 starts who has faced 29 different MLB foes but the only one who has not faced the Tigers as their final opponent. That could help our cause.

    Pick Made: Wed 3:07 pm UTC
    May 01 2024, 1:30 am UTC
    League
    Indiana
    92
    @ Milwaukee
    115
    +2271.25
    157-96 in Last 253 NBA Picks
    +2222
    101-48 in Last 149 NBA ML Picks
    +2066.5
    50-18 in Last 68 MIL ML Picks
    Analysis:

    Seems highly doubtful that Giannis and Dame Lillard will play and in fact they are both listed doubtful. This would be quite a bit higher but Tyrese Haliburton is questionable for Indiana. Highly doubt he sits with the Pacers having the chance to finish off a short-handed Bucks team and avoid a Game 6.

    Pick Made: Tue 1:23 pm UTC
    May 01 2024, 12:05 am UTC
    League
    Washington
    1
    @ Texas
    7
    +1375.25
    113-62-1 in Last 176 MLB Picks
    +502.25
    44-27 in Last 71 MLB ML Picks
    +713.5
    26-12 in Last 38 WAS ML Picks
    Analysis:

    Washington is playing really well and just swept four in Miami but had to play Monday and then travel while Texas was off -- and the Rangers appeared to really need a break after playing in 22 of the past 23 days. Texas pitcher Jon Gray has given up one or fewer earned runs in each of his past five trips to the mound (including a relief outing).

    Pick Made: Tue 1:09 pm UTC
    May 01 2024, 12:00 am UTC
    League
    Orlando
    103
    @ Cleveland
    104
    +2271.25
    157-96 in Last 253 NBA Picks
    +2222
    101-48 in Last 149 NBA ML Picks
    +2084
    41-10 in Last 51 CLE ML Picks
    Analysis:

    The home team has won every game in the series by double digits, and I really see no reason why that changes Tuesday back in Cleveland. The Magic didn't top 86 points in either of the first two games there -- not leading once -- and are now 18-25 away on the season. The Cavs are looking to win three straight home games in a playoff series for the first time since winning the 2018 Eastern Conference Finals vs. Boston.

    Pick Made: Mon 2:23 pm UTC
    Apr 30 2024, 11:40 pm UTC
    League
    Tampa Bay
    2
    @ Milwaukee
    8
    +1375.25
    113-62-1 in Last 176 MLB Picks
    +502.25
    44-27 in Last 71 MLB ML Picks
    +826
    29-11 in Last 40 TB ML Picks
    Analysis:

    Don't play the Brewers to win outright much because I don't think much of their offense, which was evident yesterday in 1-0 loss -- although we won on the runline. Milwaukee came out of that better bullpen-wise and while the starting pitching matchup was fairly even Monday. That doesn't appear to be today with Brewers ace Freddy Peralta opposed by Tyler Alexander.

    Pick Made: Tue 1:04 pm UTC