Stubborn, or sticking to my guns? I'm going back to the over despite the 1-0 slugfest we saw on Monday. 13 of the last 17 meetings in the playoffs between these two has reached this 6 number, and games in Edmonton have averaged 8.0 goals in the eight games that were not a Game 7.

You could quite easily make the argument that Nashville should be up 3-1 in this series, or at the very least, it should be knotted up at two games apiece. Instead, Vancouver skates at home for a chance to advance, and after that demoralizing loss Sunday, I don't see the Preds winning here. Nashville has dominated in shots this series, but there have just been these brief windows in these games where it all goes up in smoke with a few quick Vancouver goals. I'm backing the Canucks to handle business, and a prop parlay of JT Miller and Brock Boeser to each get a point at +109 is a great look. Miller has five points in his past two and Boeser has four.

The Bruins host the Leafs tonight with a chance to close out the series, and I expect them to do so. Toronto is just reeling, and even if Auston Matthews can go, there's no guarantee he'll last all game, which is an obvious massive loss. The draw here for me goes beyond the power play edge I see for Boston (though, that does seem likely to continue). The Bruins blew a 3-1 series lead last postseason after putting up the best regular season in NHL history. You best believe that's top of mind, and I expect a spirited Boston effort at home. Props wise, I like David Pastrnak goal at +120 and Jake DeBrusk to record a point at +100.

It's set and forget time in this series. Play the over, it has now hit in all three games this series and 10 of the past 16 playoff meetings. Some prop looks I like today: Adrian Kempe shots, Trevor Moore shots, Zach Hyman goal, Evander Kane shots. Have some fun with this game later tonight!

What is this version of Connor Hellebuyck? He has been just horrible in net for Winnipeg. Colorado has scored 17 goals in three games, and I don't see it slowing down. The Avs are now 32-10 at home this year and they should win this afternoon to secure a 3-1 series lead. If this is a bit too juiced for you, I'd recommend Casey Mittelstadt point at +114. That second line for the Avs has been buzzing, and Mittelstadt had three assists in Game 3.

It's set and forget time in this Edmonton-Los Angeles series, I'm betting the over in every game unless it goes to a Game 7. You can find a flat 6 at a reasonable price, so feel free to do that if you'd like to cover a potential push, but after a 7-4 and 5-4 game, I don't see this pace slowing down. This marks the 16th playoff matchup over the past three years for these teams, and nine of the 15 so far have seen 7+ goals, including five straight going for nine or more. Give me the over, and load up some Adrian Kempe props while you're at it, the man seems to be contractually obligated to shoot the puck against Edmonton.

We saw a glimpse of what this series could become with Thatcher Demko out of the net, and it's not pretty for Vancouver. On just 15 shots, Casey DeSmith allowed three goals for a putrid save percentage of .800. Nashville won 4-1 thanks to an empty netter, and now returning home, they seem set to take control of this series. I was a believer in the value on the Preds before this series began, and I'm surprised we're getting such a reasonable price on their moneyline at home on Friday. Count me in.

A team returning home down 0-2 in the series is very much a system play that I have to trust. These Game 3 situations tend to get the group as motivated as they'll ever be to avoid falling into an 0-3 hole. These two teams met last season in the first round. Carolina took the first two games at home, the series went to New York, and the Islanders won Game 3 5-1. I am bumping this down to a .5u play because the way Game 2 ended could just be so demoralizing for the Isles, but I'm expecting a spirited and aggressive effort to make this a series.

I said before this series began that this had all the makings of a six or seven-game showdown, and I stand by that read. Game 2 went to OT, and Game 1 was also a one goal win for Florida. There's few things I like more than backing a team coming home down 2-0 in a series, especially when that team is as talented as the Tampa Bay Lightning. Grab Tampa to win and make this a series.

I'm expecting more of the same here tonight in Edmonton with goals on both ends. The sample size we have between these two teams in the playoffs is so robust at this point, and it's clear this is the type of series to load up on some player props and hop on the over ride. Over 5.5 is 11-3 between these two over the past three postseasons, with one of those unders being a Game 7 that is historically tight league-wide.

News came out today that Vancouver goalie Thatcher Demko, who allowed just two goals in a Game 1 win, is now injured and questionable for the rest of the series. In his absence, we've got to jump on the Predators ML here at plus-money. Nashville was in the lead heading into the third period on Sunday before a pair of quick goals swung the game. The Preds are pushing to even the series, and without Demko, count me in on a Nashville win.

Listen, I'll go small-brained and bet over 6 in a series that saw 13 total goals in their first game. Winnipeg won 7-6, and now six straight games between the Jets and Avalanche have seen 6+ goals and all four this year. The pace on Sunday night was blistering, and with Colorado likely pushing to avoid an 0-2 hole, I'm expecting another fun game.

NHL playoffs are one of those things where when your Game 1 read delivers, there is rarely a reason to not return to it. Such is the case here with Winnipeg, who grabbed an exciting win over the Avs at home on Sunday night. It's the Jets at home that guides us here once again, as Colorado is now 19-23 on the road this season, while Winnipeg is 28-14 in their own barn. The Jets have poured on 14 goals in their past two meetings with the Avs and are 4-0 against them on the year. Give me the home team again on Tuesday.

We stay on theme with "going back to our winning Game 1 bets" with the under in this Caps-Rangers series again. It was a sweat, but ultimately it stayed under Sunday afternoon with New York winning 4-1. Save for a brief explosion in the middle of the second period, goals were not found, and that still projects to be the case between these two. The average total goals scored in five meetings this year is now just 4.6 goals per game.

Dallas is my favorite to come out of the West, and that starts tonight. The Stars have a deep and loaded forward group that should be able to wear down Vegas, and Jake Oettinger has cleaned things up, allowing two or fewer goals in 10 of his past 11 games. I also like the revenge angle here, as the Knights knocked Dallas out last year in the Western Conference Finals. Vegas is just 18-23 on the road this season.