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The Edge


Regional Final: 1 North Carolina vs. 3 Louisville
 
Coach: Roy Williams, five years at North Carolina, five years in NCAA Tournament.

How they got here: Automatic bid (ACC tournament champion); East first round: pounded No. 16 seed Mount St. Mary's 113-74; East second round: routed No. 9 seed Arkansas 108-77; East semifinals: crushed No. 4 seed Washington State 68-47; East semifinals: battled past No. 3 seed Louisville 83-73.

They'll keep winning if: The Jayhawks have several similarities to this edition of the Tar Heels. With energy inside and polished perimeter players, neither club carries a decided advantage on paper. Tyler Hansbrough is having an MVP-worthy tournament, averaging 21 points and 9.5 rebounds to carry North Carolina to double-digit wins in all four "tune-ups" entering the Final Four. Give a major assist to point guard Ty Lawson. He's back at full strength and has 20 assists and just six turnovers in the NCAA Tournament, showing no ill effects from the ankle injury that dogged him during ACC play. The 1-2 punch is the Tar Heels' ticket to Monday's title game. Hansbrough will have his hands full against Darrell Arthur, Darnell Jackson and Sasha Kaun and KU brings an assortment of talented guards to challenge Lawson and Wayne Ellington. Both teams had moments of vulnerability in the regional finals. Carolina couldn't put away a Louisville team that forced the Tar Heels to shift to a half-court pace consistently. Kansas had problems with No. 10 seed Davidson and didn't get a big night from its offensive catalysts, including Brandon Rush. Still, the Heels and 'Hawks survived. Kansas is unlikely to slow the pace and has the personnel to run with North Carolina, but guard penetration has bothered the Jayhawks at times this season, and containing Lawson might include shading a help defender to his area. North Carolina's Danny Green is one of the premier sixth men in the country and has back-to-back double-digit scoring efforts entering Saturday's national semifinal.

Memorable moment: The Tar Heels trailed by three points at halftime at Clemson in their conference opener and were down by seven with just 2:41 left in the second half. But the Heels outscored the Tigers 9-2 in the remaining time to send the game to overtime. In the extra period, Clemson took an 88-87 lead when Demontez Stitt hit two free throws with 13.9 seconds left, but Wayne Ellington answered with a 3-pointer with less than a second left to give the Heels a 90-88 victory. It was the first of two overtime wins for Carolina over Clemson, the second coming in Chapel Hill 103-93 in a game that went two extra periods.

 
Tyler Hansbrough
Tyler Hansbrough
Go-to guys: Tyler Hansbrough is a national Player of the Year candidate and averages a double-double -- 23 points, 10.5 rebounds in the regular season -- in leading the Tar Heels in scoring and rebounding for a third consecutive season. Ty Lawson, either off the bench or in a starting role, is a rocket at point guard with his speed and quickness. Wayne Ellington hit a bit of a slump in early February but provides the Heels with an outside shooting threat. Marcus Ginyard is a shut-down defender, and Danny Green is a solid contributor off the bench.

Strengths: North Carolina isn't quite as deep as it was a year ago because of the departure of Brandan Wright and Reyshawn Terry and the loss of Bobby Frasor to a season-ending knee injury. But depth still is a major asset, especially since Quentin Thomas has had exposure at point guard when Lawson was hobbled. Hansbrough stepped up his game even more when Lawson was hurt, and few teams have the strength to slow him down inside. Opponents can't foul him and send him to the free-throw line or he'll kill them there -- 81.3 percent in the regular season. The Heels also are the best rebounding team in the ACC, owning the boards by about 11 rebounds a game over conference foes.

Weaknesses: The Tar Heels really don't have any particular weakness an opponent can exploit. They beat themselves with poor shooting in the home loss to Maryland and were without Lawson in the loss to Duke. Turnovers can be a problem and nearly cost them in both of their overtime wins over Clemson and in a one-point win at Virginia. A team that can control the tempo could have some success against the Heels, but the only team that kept the Heels under 70 points in a game this season (Ohio State) still lost by 11 on its own court. Look for opponents to gang up on Hansbrough inside and hope for the best on the perimeter.

 
Coach: Tony Bennett, two years at Washington State, two years in NCAA Tournament.

How they got here: At-large berth; East first round: crushe d No. 13 seed Winthrop 71-40; East second round: handled No. 5 seed Notre Dame 61-41.

They'll keep winning if: Kyle Weaver is Wazzu's second-leading scorer, but he and Robbie Cowgill have been most valuable because of their ability to slow down talented scorers. North Carolina has many options inside. Weaver has a long reach and the agility to stick to perimeter shooters. Taylor Rochestie controls the offense, which looks plodding at times, but Washington State thrives at the slow-down pace by getting high-percentage looks. In a battle of tempo, rebounding is critical. Washington State has to hold North Carolina, playing in front of a partisan crowd in Charlotte, to one shot per possession. The Cougars are not the most talented team left in the tournament field and playing catch-up isn't Wazzu's game. They are not especially athletic, have only moderate depth and just decent size. But they play with offensive precision and defensive ferocity.

Memorable moment: Before they could challenge the best in the Pac-10, the Cougars felt as if they needed to establish themselves in their own back yard. They did that with an emotion-charged 51-47 road victory over nearby rival Gonzaga, the state's glamour team in recent years. WSU squelched a high-scoring Gonzaga team to win its second straight high-profile road game, five days after winning at Baylor.

 
Derrick Low
Derrick Low
Go-to guys: Balance is the byword in WSU's offensive attack, but guards Derrick Low and Taylor Rochestie most often take the big shots in close games. Rochestie, a junior, has ratcheted up the level of his game in recent weeks. Meanwhile, versatile guard Kyle Weaver remains a dangerous player, able to hurt opponents in a variety of ways on offense and defense.

Strengths: WSU's ability to dictate tempo with its offense and defense is difficult for first-time opponents to grasp. Everyone on the floor passes the ball well and the Cougars work the ball patiently for the shot they want. They also slow the tempo with their defense, making it tough for opponents to get the ball inside. What's left is a seemingly inviting perimeter shot that may not quite what the other team really wants.

Weaknesses: The Cougars can't afford foul trouble and can't afford to get involved in an up-and-down game. They don't have the athletic interior player who can easily match up with a quick and strong big man, so they must rely on their defensive team concept to compensate.

Copyright (C) 2008 The Sports Xchange. All Rights Reserved.
 
 
Matchup Summary
Kansas' Bill Self finally got the monkey of his back to reach the Final Four for the first time, while Roy Williams is in the Final Four for the sixth time in his coaching career. Both teams are accustomed to having a huge edge in talent, athleticism and depth over their opponents, but in this case they're basically a draw. This one could come down to the little things like foul trouble and foul shooting. Kansas shoots less than 70 percent from the stripe.
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
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