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Conspiracy or coincidence? Breaking down the bracket head-scratchers - NCAA Division I Mens Basketball Sports News
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Conspiracy or coincidence? Breaking down the bracket head-scratchers

 

One of my favorite films is JFK.

I should probably admit that up front.

I saw it in high school when it was released and subsequently became fascinated with the assassination of John F. Kennedy. I started reading books about it, started watching documentaries about it, even paid $9 to visit the Sixth Floor Museum at Dealey Plaza in Dallas, and I'm not sure that last part was worth the time.

Think Jim Garrison would approve of Gary Parrish's investigative methods? (Provided to CBSSports.com)  
Think Jim Garrison would approve of Gary Parrish's investigative methods? (Provided to CBSSports.com)  
Anyway, my point is that I dig the stuff.

I enjoy all the conspiracies and supposed conspiracies.

And with that sort of mindset, I can't help but to see the NCAA tournament bracket and search for things that are odd, like that doctored photo of Lee Harvey Oswald that once ran in Time. So I looked. And I found some odd things. And now I'll try to distinguish conspiracy from coincidence in the new game sweeping CBSSports.com ... Conspiracy or Coincidence! (Catchy name, huh?)

UCLA has the easiest path to the Final Four

Somebody told me once there's a reason UCLA seems to always have a favorable draw, that the NCAA understands it is crucial to have the Bruins involved as long as possible because it ensures the event will maximize the Los Angeles market and West Coast in general. It seemed like an interesting theory at the time, though I didn't pay much attention to it.

When this bracket was released I couldn't help but notice the West is the weakest region thanks to a No. 2 seed (Duke) that has lost two of its past three games and a No. 3 (Xavier) that has lost two of its past four games. Contrast that to the Midwest, where top-seeded Kansas has to deal with a No. 2 seed (Georgetown) that won the Big East regular-season title and a No. 3 seed (Wisconsin) that swept the Big Ten crowns, and I'm starting to accept this theory as fact.

Verdict: Conspiracy.

Michael Beasley vs. O.J. Mayo in the first round

It seems strange that two premier players and prospects would be magically paired in a first-round game, and the CBS executives must be thrilled. But I can't imagine the selection committee had enough time to set matchups highlighting individuals given everything that was happening over the weekend.

Plus, if that was the purpose, it could have done better. Why not move Kansas State up to the No. 9 seed in the East, then pray for a second-round game against Tyler Hansbrough and North Carolina so we can settle this Player of the Year debate once and for all.

Verdict: Coincidence

The highest RPIs omitted are from non-BCS leagues

The teams with the top three RPIs not included in the field are No. 32 Dayton (Atlantic 10), No. 33 Illinois State (Missouri Valley) and No. 42 UMass (Atlantic 10). No big deal, right? Perhaps not. But what would you say if I told you this marks the fourth consecutive time that the top three RPIs omitted from the field belong to non-BCS schools? That's four years in a row, and a pattern that cannot be denied.

Verdict: Conspiracy

Quality non-BCS schools paired to eliminate each other

Butler, South Alabama, Gonzaga, Davidson, Drake and Western Kentucky were all either ranked or receiving votes in the latest AP poll, and somehow they ended up playing each other in the first round. This ensures more non-BCS schools will advance and fewer non-BCS schools will advance.

I would cast it off as nothing if I hadn't been in New Orleans last March and watched Creighton (MVC tournament champion) and Nevada (WAC champion) battle in the first round of the 2007 NCAA tournament for the right to be eliminated by Memphis (C-USA champion) in the second round. Put another way, last year's bracket was designed so that a non-BCS power (Memphis) would eliminate the winner of a game between two other non-BCS powers (Creighton and Nevada), ensuring only one of the three could make the Sweet 16. This is not an accident, I tell you.

Verdict: Conspiracy

No. 1 seed Memphis set to play regional final road game second time in three years

Memphis had a fabulous season in 2005-06 and was rewarded with a No. 1 seed in the West. UCLA was the No. 2 seed. So the Tigers and Bruins played in the Elite Eight in Oakland, where 16,000 UCLA fans created some kind of home-court advantage, and John Calipari was pissed.

But he kinda got over it.

Until Memphis had a fabulous season this season and was rewarded with a No. 1 seed in the South Region, where Texas is the No. 2 seed, which means the Tigers and Longhorns could play in the Elite Eight in Houston, where 16,000 Texas fans will surely create some kind of home-court advantage. Now John Calipari is pissed again.

And he's not getting over it.

But I'm still not sure the committee is totally out to get Memphis given how I think it over-seeded the Tigers last year when it tabbed them a No. 2 despite the fact that they possessed just two quality victories (Kentucky and Gonzaga). So for now, I'll give the benefit of the doubt to the committee on this subject, I guess.

Verdict: Coincidence (though I'm willing to examine this further at a later date).

 
Talk Back
Reputation:96
Level:Superstar
Since:Sep 1, 2006

March 18, 2008 9:37 am

What am I missing?  Conspiracy?  Please. 

Memphis has an absolute cake walk to the Elite Eight.  Pittsburgh is decent but no possible way would they beat UCLA, North Carolina or Kansas.  Michigan State is average at best, the rest in that top bracket is garbage.  Then they will likely have to play the winner of Texas and Stanford to make it to th ...(more)

Reputation:94
Level:All-Star
Since:Feb 16, 2007

March 17, 2008 8:35 pm

Gary - clever idea, and a good way to spark some debate. But I think coincidence on all, here's why on the ones you swayed towards conspiracy:

UCLA has the easist path to the final four: Your point is that #2 seed Duke lost 2 of it's last 3 = true, but that was to North Carolina & Clemson, two very good teams. Xavier has lost 2 of it's last four ...(more)

Reputation:96
Level:Superstar
Since:Mar 19, 2007

March 17, 2008 9:45 pm
Got the deal.  Home state games against out of state opponents even though they are worse seeded.  Davidson's is the worst since it's opponent Gonzaga has to go clear across the country for its first round game.  Talk about jet lag.  I hope they were leaving today, because they just lost it (the day) while Davidson was practicing and warming up the bus.
Reputation:94
Level:All-Star
Since:Oct 12, 2007

March 18, 2008 11:12 am

I mean I am as happy that they are playing as the next guy because I think it makes a great game, but how does the selection committee not set this up on purpose? I can see them sitting there discussing the two teams "well this USC team is pretty solid I think they are a 6. Lets matchup them up with this team Kansas St. Yea they are probably an 11 seed seeing how they tailed off at the end ...(more)

Reputation:99
Level:Superstar
Since:Aug 10, 2006

March 18, 2008 10:23 am
Did you look at the road Texas has. They POTENTIALLY could play THREE rematches along the way. They have the first round rematch against St. Marys. Then they could have a potential rematch with Michigan State in the sweet sixteen, then a potential rematch against UCLA in the Final Four. Can't say I have ever heard of a team having so many potential rematches in one tourney 
Reputation:91
Level:All-Star
Since:Feb 1, 2008

March 17, 2008 9:54 pm

I Hate to put you in your place Parrish, but you are wrong my compadre the NCAA tourney commitee does hate Memphis and has set them up for the last 3 years not 2 out of 3 years.

2006: UCLA in Oakland (Elite Eight)

2007: Texas A&M in San Antonio (Sweet Sixteen)

2008: Texas in Houston (Elite Eight)

Reputation:93
Level:All-Star
Since:Nov 25, 2007

March 18, 2008 9:23 pm
      &nbs p;      &n bsp;              "Now John Calipari is pissed again."

This guy should feel fortunate to be a one seed at all, let alone worry where they MIGHT play--considering their competition in C-USA. The ot ...(more)

Reputation:95
Level:Superstar
Since:Jan 22, 2007

March 18, 2008 8:01 pm
I like the possibility of a Butler-Tennessee game in the second round.  It was last years pre-season NIT tourney that Butler went on to beat Tennessee and win the NIT title.  All I am saying is that the possibility still exist!!
Reputation:96
Level:Superstar
Since:Aug 17, 2006

March 18, 2008 11:19 am
Do you really think the selection committee would intentionally set 2 non BCS teams against each other?  Why do a lot of people watch?  Because they like to see VCU beat Duke, or George Mason beat...well...almost everyone.  Intentionally doing this would be bad business.  Alternatively, there's a very good chance (like 100%) that one team from each of these matchups will ma ...(more)
Reputation:96
Level:Superstar
Since:Sep 1, 2006

March 17, 2008 10:02 pm
dont forget the NCAA committee sent Memphis to San Antonio last year to Texas A&M.  what a bunch of BS. i never have though to much into this until this year, its totally rigged. they set this tournament up this year for marketing purposes only, this is the worst pairings i have ever seen.....................good article
Reputation:84
Level:All-Star
Since:Jan 14, 2008

March 19, 2008 11:33 am
Conspiracy

The NCAA purposely avoided putting the Belmont Bruins, the Butler Bulldogs and the Boise State Broncos in the Midwest bracket to keep them from playing (and beating) the top seed KU Jayhawks.

With Kansas' recent problems in the tournament against mid-major and small colleges whose names begin with the letter
...(more)
Reputation:98
Level:Superstar
Since:Sep 10, 2007

March 18, 2008 11:46 am

 

One of the biggest determination factors of who wins and loses is LOCATION. The awesome Tarheels play their first two games in Raleigh, NC.  Assuming they beat Indiana and continue to win, their next two games are in Charlotte, NC.  HOME FIELD location is huge.

Another example of home field location being used; 7th seeded Butler ranked very high in the poll ...(more)

Reputation:92
Level:All-Star
Since:Mar 8, 2007

March 18, 2008 5:21 am
My question is..who did UNC tick off? OK, I'll give you the fact that they have the opportunity to play in Raleigh and then Charlotte. However, Tennessee is easily the best #2 seed and Louisville is the best #3 seed. And the possibility of playing Indiana in the 2nd round, and then Notre Dame or WSU. By far the toughest bracket for the overall #1 seed. 
Reputation:98
Level:Superstar
Since:Sep 17, 2006

March 17, 2008 7:46 pm
It's a little difficult for more non-BCS schools to advance, while at the same time less non-BCS schools are advancing. Extremely puzzling.
Reputation:97
Level:Superstar
Since:Dec 24, 2006

March 17, 2008 11:02 pm

Gary -

Great article.  I agree with all of your points, except one.

The 6th Floor Museum has gone through a makeover over the past few years and is now a very worthwhile exhibit.  I encourage you, as a JFK buff, to head back one day.  The old version was way too PC.  Now, there's some controversial items on display - even a wing dedicated to several cons ...(more)

 
 
 
 
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