Mine is Wake Forest , the ACC is an easy conference to play in
Smooth. Way to slide that in there. I'm surprised no ACC fans have weighed in. (Then again, it is the off-season.)
My picks to be better than people are projecting:
Big East - Provy, Cincy... Both could be tournament teams... or they could fail to make the NIT. Goes either way. Pitt's going to hit the season ranked, but they could be a Final Four team if they gel.
ACC - I'll agree with Wake Forest.
SEC - Florida will be markedly improved, but, then, I think most people expect that
Big Ten - Purdue will be a national player; despite losing Neitzel, Izzo's Spartans will be in the hunt for the Big Ten crown... but the sleeper to make its first tourney appearance in years? Penn State.
Big XII - Nebraska could have a breakthrough season.
PAC-10 - Arizona State's my sleeper. Sendek showed remarkable progress with the Sun Devils in his first season... I think this year, they make a play for the PAC-10 title.
Teams that're going to fare worse than their pre-season projections:
Big East - Georgetown (no way my Hoyas finish in the Top Ten... they'll be a bubble team this year... Making it to the round of 32 would be a good showing); Notre Dame (they're a complete package... unfortunately, they're not an elite one); Marquette (I think the Eagles will backslide a bit this season)
**Note: Having 7 or 8 teams in the Spring Top 25 poll is drawing a target on our conference's back. Boeheim's arguing (already) that the B-East will deserve 10 bids isn't helping.
ACC - Duke will be good... but not great... could this be the beginning of a loooong, slooooow, descent for the Devils? Clemson will probably win like 18 straight games. Then lose. Like usual.
Big Ten - Everyone knows Indiana will inhale vigorously, so that's no surprise
Big XII - Hard for me to believe Texas will be as good as I'm seeing them ranked
SEC - I think expectations are going to be a little elevated in Kentucky this year; not saying they won't do well... just not as well as a 12-4 conference record in a rebuilding year would seem to prognosticate.
PAC-10 - I don't think UCLA will make it to the Sweet Sixteen next season. (You know your program's top-tier when that's underachieving, but still.)