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The reason I think UNLV has a great chance to get around a 4-seed (if not a little better) is simple.
- Looking at their non-conference schedule, I think one loss heading into conference play is a very real possibility. I truly don't think they'll lose more than 2 games heading into Mountain West Play. So let's just say, for the sake of arguement, that they go 12-2 in non-conference play.
- UNLV, based on who's returning, must be considered the favorites to win the MWC title next season. BYU went 14-2 in the MWC last season, and I think UNLV can very definitely do the same THIS season.
- UNLV aint losing the MWC Tournament at the Thomas & Mack in Las Vegas. Period. So that's 3-0 THERE.
Add it all up, dan, and that puts UNLV at 29-4 heading into the NCAA Tournament. There's no way, at 29-4, that UNLV would be any worse than a 4-seed. The year they got the 7-seed (and they were WAY underseeded that season), they were 28-6. I think at 29-4 they'd get a much better seed.
This scenario, of course, is based on the team staying basically injury free throughout the season. If they DO, that type of record is certainly possible.
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