This year's draft clearly sets up as a "need" lottery, one in which teams --
especially those who do not have selections in the top half of the first
round -- will attempt to fill out specific shortcomings and not necessarily
opt for the best player available.
Most of the 13 personnel directors and general managers surveyed for the
SportsLine.com draft series agree there are only 15-18 players on the board
with legitimate first-round grades. From the middle of the first round
until about the midpoint of the second, the players are jumbled and
their grades are close.
Also notable about this draft is that there are fewer defensive players
graded as first-round caliber prospects. That means defenders will be
"pushed up" the board.
In these kinds of drafts, teams will "reach" for a
particular player. A few years from now, when the 2000 draft is evaluated,
it will be interesting to see if the results reflect the uncertainty.
Here, then, is a look at how SportsLine.com rates the top 60 players.
The list does not reflect the order in which the prospects will be selected,
but rather their overall value based on a number of factors, including
overall athleticism, ability to contribute quickly in the NFL and "round
value," the spot in the draft where they should be selected:
1. DE Courtney Brown, Penn State, 6-4 7/8, 269 (4.56 time in the 40-yard
dash):
Could use some more bulk, but comes hard off the corner every snap
and is disruptive with his ability to penetrate upfield. Tremendous speed
and quickness, runs the 40 even faster than many of the skill-position
prospects in this draft. Nifty feet, good change of direction, can turn and
then pursue plays from behind. Can hit top acceleration in only a step or
two. Very aware of where he is at all times.
2. OLB LaVar Arrington, Penn State, 6-3 3/8, 250 (4.56):
Fine football
instincts and very aware of what's going on around him. Probably projects
to strongside player in the NFL. Goes to the ball like a heat-seeking
missile and delivers a jolt when he hits people. A combination blitz/cover
defender capable of coming hard off the edge or dropping into the flat or
even 20 yards upfield. Stuffs the run and seems to naturally break down
into classic football hitting position.
3. WR Peter Warrick, Florida State, 5-10 5/8, 194 (4.57):
An electrifying
big-play threat who is more quick than fast and probably dropped from the
No. 1 overall spot in draft because of pedestrian 40-yard time. Just put
the ball in his hands, though, and don't worry about his stopwatch speed
because he plays so much quicker than he times. Exceptional athlete with
rare body control and burst. Superb open-field running ability.
4. DT Corey Simon, Florida State, 6-1 5/8, 297 (4.84):
Easily the best
interior defensive lineman in draft pool. High-energy and super-intense run
stuffer who demonstrates terrific instincts and in-line balance and body
control. A little more squat than you would like but has a massive lower
body, very thick through the butt and thighs. Exceptional athlete for a man
his size, moves well in space. Can move like a linebacker and is frequently
used to drop off into shorts hook zones.
5. OT Chris Samuels, Alabama, 6-5 1/8, 319 (4.98):
Not as good as Tony
Boselli was coming out of college, but still one of the premier left tackle
prospects of the last decade. Outstanding pass protector who permitted only
one sack in his last two seasons and none in more than 900 snaps in 1999. Simply
does not get beat in pass protection. Plays with quickness and great
balance and can handle the outside speed rush and the inside counter moves.
Very agile and nimblefooted, and has superior recovery skills.
6. OLB/ILB Brian Urlacher, New Mexico, 6-3 7/8, 258 (4.49):
Real freak of
nature, since no one so large and so chiseled should be able to run so
fast. Can sprint upfield with any running back and even some wide
receivers. Athletic enough that, even as an outside linebacker, could play
over the receiver in the slot. Because he played so many positions, really
hasn't mastered one spot and suffers at times from a lack of technique
refinement.
7. RB Thomas Jones, Virginia, 5-10, 216 (4.48):
Darting runner who explodes
into holes, gets quickly into the secondary and possesses the kind of long,
straight-line speed to run away from even some of the faster cornerbacks.
Low-slung but solidly chiseled, runs with balance and a very low center of
gravity. Won't break many tackles but still tough to knock off his feet.
8. WR Travis Taylor, Florida, 6-0 7/8, 200 (4.46):
Strong offseason
workouts skyrocketed underclass wideout up draft boards; now a likely top
15 selection. Probably more polished receiver and more technically sound
than Warrick and flashed better speed in workouts than scouts thought he
had. Nice size, will catch the ball too close to his body at times, but
uses shoulders to fend off corners. Strong runner after the catch.
9. QB Chad Pennington, Marshall, 6-3 3/8, 229 (4.84):
Doesn't have a big
gun but arm strength has improved over last two years. Combined with
classic throwing motion and quick release, he is more than good enough.
Accurate in the short and intermediate game. Terrific student of game.
10. WR Plaxico Burress, Michigan State, 6-5 3/8, 231 (4.57):
Size will
create matchup problems for defensive coordinators leaguewide; likes to run
the deep post and can muscle right through the double-team. Will make the
acrobatic catch but also drops some easy balls. Some ability on double-move
routes. Needs to concentrate on the finer points of the game and quick
taking his skills so much for granted. A better work ethic wouldn't hurt,
either.
11. TE Bubba Franks, Miami (Fla.), 6-5 5/8, 252 (4.93):
Prototype size,
speed and power for the hybrid position, but underclassman has puzzled
scouts since the end of season. Huge target with large hands, sometimes
catches the ball too close to his body, but can make the acrobatic grab as
well. Powerful runner with some speed, tough to haul down when loose in
secondary. Usually gets a smooth release off line, uses hands well to shake
off linebackers playing over him.
12. RB Shaun Alexander, Alabama, 5-11 7/8, 218 (4.51):
Didn't garner the
respect some tailbacks did during '99 season, but scouts love the guy and
consider him the best all-around back in draft. He is just very solid in
every area. Not a flashy back and won't break the big play, but efficient
and technically sound in everything he does. A natural runner with great
instincts.
13. DE Shaun Ellis, Tennessee, 6-4 3/8, 280 (4.76):
Improved his pass rush
skills in '99 but still regarded primarily as a strongside end who might
not be in your third-down package until he has a few years to refine some
techniques. Nice frame and could probably add another 10-12 pounds and not
lose any quickness. Plays with a solid base and nice strength; exhibits
good instincts.
14. OLB Julian Peterson, Michigan State, 6-3 1/8, 231 (4.66):
Natural pass
rusher who had 40 sacks in two seasons of junior college, explosive player
when coming forward or off the edge. Terrific burst and very quick over 10
yards. Uses his hands to create separation but does not do a good job yet
of avoiding cut blocks. Flexible and, when he's rushing quarterback, really
hugs the corner tightly and compresses the pocket.
15. RB Jamal Lewis, Tennessee, 5-11 5/8, 231 (4.37):
Skyrocketed up draft
boards after electrifying on-campus workout in which some scouts timed him
in low-4.3s, and he posted vertical jump of over 40 inches. Prototype
combination of size, speed, power and quick feet. Will run through most arm
tackles.
16. OLB Keith Bulluck, Syracuse, 6-3, 244 (4.58):
Super range, can really
open his hips, plays at times like he thinks he's still a safety. Will fly
all over the field to make plays. Because of background in secondary,
retains some man-coverage ability. Sees the field well and keys in on
plays. Will get to the outside and funnel play back to interior. Gets
caught up in traffic and sometimes doesn't disengage as well as you'd like.
17. DE John Abraham, South Carolina, 6-3 5/8, 252 (4.52):
The classic
in-between player. Where he lines up in the NFL will depend on who drafts
him but, rest assured, whether he plays at end or linebacker, he will be a
rush guy on third-and-long. Superb cornering skills, can make the jab step
inside and then close on the quarterback. Very long arms and strong hands.
18. OT Stockar McDougle, Oklahoma, 6-5 1/4, 354 (5.48):
Massive and girthy
blocker who can envelop defenders with his size alone. Weight got out of
control for a while and reported to the combine at 361 pounds. Would
probably be more effective in the 330- to 340-pound range, but he is just
genetically huge. Projects to right tackle for most teams but some clubs
want to move inside to guard for a year or two. Comes off the ball, rolls
his hips, hits on the rise.
19. DT Chris Hovan, Boston College, 6-2 3/8, 305 (4.95):
Looks like a
natural 280-pounder who bulked himself up in weight room. Doesn't always
play up to his size but, then again, always is a guy who grades out higher
than his skill level indicates he should. A true warrior and gritty inside
defender who has the ability to control the interior and dominate a game,
especially when used in a one-gap technique.
20. WR Sylvester Morris, Jackson State, 6-3, 216 (4.49):
Had a terrible
combine but has recovered well in private workouts and consistently run
under 4.5 on campus for scouts. Actually doesn't play as fast as his
stopwatch time; still pretty raw and will need work. Some burst over the
top but not especially quick in close areas. Big hands and long arms.
21. CB Ahmed Plummer, Ohio State, 5-10 3/4, 191 (4.49):
Good body control
and anticipation, and he needs it because he doesn't have the sustained
speed to run upfield with the deep threat receivers. Smooth in his
backpedal and good hip turn, very nice footwork and economy of motion.
Won't take many false steps and has a nice change of direction. Good ball
skills.
22. OG/OT Chris McIntosh, Wisconsin, 6-6 3/8, 315 (5.37):
Four-year starter
at left tackle for the Badgers, but some question as to whether his rather
average pass blocking skills and a lack of quickness allow him to play that
position at next level. Long arms but doesn't always lock out once he makes
initial contact. Adequate change of direction only, will overextend.
23. DE Darren Howard, Kansas State, 6-3 3/4, 281 (5.09):
Despite nice size
and good speed, is a step slow off the ball when he lines up over tackle or
in a "9" technique. Has natural lean off the corner but doesn't use it. At
times, appears he is a better pass rusher when he moves inside and operates
against guard. Sacks dropped off from 10-1/2 in 1998 to 5-1/2 in '99, but
was sometimes called on to drop into swing areas last year. Scouts love the
fact he plays game with balance.
24. RB Ron Dayne, Wisconsin, 5-10 7/8, 256 (4.58):
Leading career rusher in
college football has some limitations, but scouts are beginning to warm to
him as draft approaches. A massive man who can go into the pile and move it
back, his thick body makes it tough for tacklers to wrap him up. Built low
to ground and is like roadgrader if he gets up a head of steam. Workhorse
who is accustomed to 25-30 carries per game.
25. OT Adrian Klemm, Hawaii, 6-3 7/8, 307, (5.05):
Moved from tackle to
tight end in '98 and dropped weight as low as 240 pounds that season. By
midseason, forced back to tackle and had to bulk up again. Very raw but a
terrific athlete with exceptional feet, lateral movement skills and a long
frame that can handle another 10-15 pounds. Despite lack of experience, has
innate feel for getting his hands inside on an opponent and then extending
his long arms to create separation.
26. DE Erik Flowers, Arizona State, 6-4 1/4, 271 (4.68):
Added nearly 30
pounds since last spring and didn't lose any of his quickness. Explodes off
the edge, lightning first step into the backfield. Doesn't have great
natural size and bone structure might mean he's a big as he is going to
get. Speed is still biggest asset and has to work just as hard now to
refine his game.
27. WR Jerry Porter, West Virginia, 6-2 1/4, 221 (4.38):
Limited exposure
to wide receiver position. Recruited as quarterback, played some wideout
early in career, then switched to safety for junior and first half of
senior seasons. Played just six games at wide receiver in '99 and caught 15
passes for 311 yards and four scores. Tremendous workout warrior, off the
charts in nearly every test. Has consistently run under 4.4 and had
vertical jumps in the NBA range.
28. CB Deltha O'Neal, California, 5-11, 193 (4.46):
A natural ballhawk and
moves fluidly toward the pass in the air. Had nine interceptions in 1999.
Good anticipation helps him a lot but he has also dramatically improved his
footwork and overall technique. Has run blistering 40 times the past month
but, on tape at least, doesn't play up to his straight-line speed.
29. ILB Rob Morris, Brigham Young, 6-1 7/8, 250 (4.74):
Huge motor, plays
every snap with intensity and passion. Doesn't run all that well and not a
great athlete, but anticipation and diagnostic skills get him to ball.
Takes good angles and doesn't waste any steps. Has been on the bottom of a
lot of piles in his career. Plays naturally squared-up and in-hitting
position.
30. OT Todd Wade, Mississippi, 6-7 7/8, 326 (5.24):
Not fat, just big all
over, can be imposing just getting up out of a chair. Unfortunately,
football isn't played in chairs. Tremendous wingspan and has good but not
great feet. No better than adequate in a lot of areas during the past two
years but scouts seem to be upgrading him in recent weeks. Can fan out but
still struggles to adjust when he overextends.
31. CB Rashard Anderson, Jackson State, 6-2 3/8, 206 (4.59):
Good feet and
hips and nice recovery to the ball when he gets beat. Has yet to refine his
single-coverage techniques, but shows promise there and will get better as
he plays more cornerback and gets more repetitions. Body is so big that he
looks like he had more range than he really does.
32. OT Marvel Smith, Arizona State, 6-4 7/8, 320 (5.32):
Prototype size for
left tackle, the kind of long arms you want, but is still filling out and
might get even bigger. Plays a finesse game and lacks upper body strength.
Tends to not bend his knees and gets too high. Very inconsistent in his
pass protection setup; likes to ride rushers up the field, but will get too
wide.
33. WR Dennis Northcutt, Arizona, 5-10 3/8, 175 (4.45):
Played a lot of
positions early in career before settling in at wide receiver. A little
smaller than you'd like but not as anemic-looking as Todd Pinkston of Southern Miss. Solid player with a big heart and nice feel for the game. Rarely seems to take a big hit. More quick than fast, a darting and shifty runner who is a terrific return man.
34. OG Cosey Coleman, Tennessee, 6-4 1/8, 322 (5.38):
Plays faster than his
stopwatch time and is stronger than his bench press tests indicate. Body
looks a little soft and he will have to work on defining his physique.
Still very young so should get stronger as he matures. Very quick feet, can
pull and really get out in front of the sweep. At his best in space but
still a bit inconsistent when it comes to hitting on the move.
35. OG Travis Claridge, Southern California, 6-5 1/8, 303 (5.16):
Tough and
has a blue-collar work ethic. Plays with great intensity and
aggressiveness. Tenacious when he is blocking in-line, will sustain until
the back clears him and then make an effort at second level. Durable and
will play hurt rather than take snaps off. Above average techniques but
can't make the reach block.
36. DE John Engelberger, Virginia Tech, 6-4 1/4, 260 (4.73):
Active
defender with superior straight-line running speed. A nasty disposition but
will keep his emotions in check; rarely shows much outward passion for the
game. Has trouble getting off blocks and will get washed out of some plays
completely. Had some off-field problems that are a concern.
37. DE/DT Cornelius Griffin, Alabama, 6-3 1/8, 297 (4.91):
Versatile
defender with enough speed to play outside and enough body mass to get
significant snaps at tackle. Good weightlifter but he doesn't always
translate that into functional football strength. Will try to muscle
blockers and is not as strong as he should be as an inside anchor.
38. WR Dez White, Georgia Tech, 6-1 1/4, 216 (4.41):
Nice combination of
size and speed. Built like a tailback, could probably stand to lose 5-6
pounds. Exploded on scene in '98 with huge season, then tailed off in '99
when defenses began accounting more for him. Very fluid, almost effortless
style, doesn't seem like he's at full throttle but will run right past a
cornerback.
39. TE Anthony Becht, West Virginia, 6-5 5/8, 270 (4.76):
Good stopwatch
speed but usually plays slower than his time. A solid target in the short
area and guy who knows how to locate the seams in zone coverage.
Inconsistent hands, will drop more balls than he should. Long arms and
knows how to make himself available to the quarterback. Has had some injury
problems with feet that need to be checked out.
40. DT Steve Warren, Nebraska, 6-0 5/8, 307 (5.06):
Not as tall as scouts
like but a massive lower body. Tough and strong, plays with a low base and
can completely shut down the run inside when he's got things cranked up.
Like a big roadblock in the middle of the line who is not going to be
budged. Better athlete and more flexible than he first appears.
41. CB Lewis Sanders, Maryland, 6-0 1/4, 202 (4.49):
Doesn't bend his knees
well in his backpedal and will get his feet caught when he breaks upfield.
For most of season, it looked like he lacked true corner speed, but then he
burned up the track in postseason workouts, posting some times in the mid-
to high-4.3s. Plays the ball pretty well.
42. WR R. Jay Soward, Southern California, 5-9 1/2, 177 (4.37):
Next to
Peter Warrick, might be most natural playmaker in wide receiver group.
Explosive off line and reaches top speed in only a few strides. When he
kicks it into top gear, no one is going to catch him. From 1996-98, scored
27 times on only 186 "touches," and averaged nearly 50 yards per touchdown
play.
43. DT Darwin Walker, Tennessee, 6-2 3/8, 293 (4.85):
Selfless player who
understands his role and is happy to play it and not try to be a star. An
athletic tester who runs under 5.0 and jumps well but rarely applies those
skills on the field. Takes good angles to the ball and will play with
economy of motion. When he gets too high, gets obliterated. Does not play
with good pad level.
44. RB Trung Canidate, Arizona, 5-10 5/8, 193 (4.44):
Best long threat in
running back pool but he will put up a lot of 2- and 3-yard carries before
hitting the seam and sprinting 50 yards. Scouts like him as complementary
or change of pace back who can get 6-8 carries per game and maybe hit the
home run. In 1997-98 averaged more than 50 yards per touchdown run.
45. ILB Brandon Short, Penn State, 6-3, 252 (4.73):
Smart, tenacious and
fiery, a team leader who can verbally rally the troops. Has lateral and
chase speed but marginal downfield effort. Sometimes he will wait for the
play to come to him instead of reacting to what's unfolding in front of
him. A bit stiff-looking in the hips.
46. FS Deon Grant, Tennessee, 6-1 3/4, 209 (4.56):
Tremendous physical
stature and overall physical abilities should project him into first round,
but most teams have dropped him on their boards in recent weeks. Great
hands, catches the ball as well as most wide receivers in this year's
draft. But the guy won't hit anybody.
47. OG Chad Clifton, Tennessee, 6-5 1/4, 334 (5.08):
True workout warrior
who is a better athlete than he is a football player. Will run under 5.0 in
the 40 under good conditions but straight-line speed doesn't translate into
maneuverability on field. Still, there are some teams that like him more
than Vols teammate and guard Cosey Coleman. Often late coming off the ball
and is not particularly explosive.
48. WR Todd Pinkston, Southern Mississippi, 6-2, 169 (4.49):
Biggest
concern is his frail-looking frame and fear he won't hold up physically to
NFL pounding. Plays up to his speed and has good body control. Makes the
tough catch, fearless when running through traffic. Excellent concentration
on the ball; will rarely double-catch or bobble a pass.
49. CB Jacoby Shepherd, Oklahoma State, 6-1 1/2 (4.49):
Inconsistent
techniques but the bigger cornerback every team wants now. Actually plays
a bit faster than his 40 time would indicate. Has some natural coverage
abilities. Moves with great facility and very fluid when he turns his hips
to run deep. Good recovery speed, needs to develop his spatial awareness.
50. OLB Raynoch Thompson, Tennessee, 6-2 5/8, 220 (4.55):
Fluid athlete,
very loose in the hips and can motor after the ball carrier. Mostly makes
plays, however, from behind and his size precludes him from taking on
blockers and redirecting them. Very quick and gets great depth on pass
drops, but doesn't have coverage techniques he needs to contribute as
"nickel" linebacker.
51. OT Michael Thompson, Tennessee State, 6-4 1/2, 305 (5.25):
As raw as
steak tartar but opened lots of eyes at the Senior Bowl, where he could
hang with the big boys, and then again at the combine. Tremendous pure
athleticism and flexibility. Can really move his feet and has the mentality
of a left tackle. Lacks functional football strength and needs about 20
more pounds.
52. FS Rogers Beckett, Marshall, 6-1 1/2, 207 (4.62):
Exceptional size and
plays a lot faster than his 40 time would indicate. A long-strider who is
just learning to chop his steps, but seems to get to the ball and cover a
lot of ground with deceptive range. Takes good angles to the ball and
really gets a good jump on the outside "fade" routes. Can be physical at
times.
53. WR Laveranues Coles, Florida State, 5-11 1/4, 192 (4.45):
True
straight-line burner with incredible burst and ability to simply explode
past defenders. Will have cornerbacks backpedaling from the time he breaks
the huddle. More fast than quick and, having played wideout for only two
full seasons, former high school running back still looks uninstinctive at
times.
54. DE Adalius Thomas, Southern Mississippi, 6-2 3/8, 270 (4.59):
Despite
getting 31 sacks in three seasons, an underachiever at times. Incredible
first step into backfield, like he was shot out of a catapult, but will
flat-out quit on a play when he is stymied. Plays with good leverage and
will take nice angles to ball. Makes big plays and can block kicks.
55. OLB Marcus Washington, Auburn, 6-3 1/4, 252 (4.63):
Nice range and
hustle, can chases play from the inside out. Quick and explosive hands but
will allow blockers into his chest at times and then is stalemated. Flashes
some pass rush skills and seems to be developing in that area. Adequate
strength. Gets tunnel vision when he drops into pass coverage.
56. CB/FS Mark Roman, LSU, 5-10 7/8, 188 (4.47):
Has some innate coverage
skills and nice change of direction and break on ball. A little too high in
his backpedal and his hip turn isn't real smooth, will get duped on the
double-move routes. Will close on the ball, though, and loves to come up
and physically press the receiver.
57. OG Leander Jordan, Indiana (Pa.), 6-3 7/8, 330 (5.35):
Limited football
background, but great size, strength and balance. Has quick hands and will
shoot them out and get into defensive tackle, lock on and redirect. Doesn't
always make best decisions because he hasn't been playing game long enough
to have developed solid instincts.
58. OLB Barrett Green, West Virginia, 5-11 5/8, 233 (4.62):
Explosive
hitter when he gets a chance to run up on a player. Exceptionally active
and will make plays from sideline to sideline. Good strength for his size
but has really short arms and that makes it hard for him to take on
blockers and shed them. Because of that, tends to run around plays. Has a
nose for the ball and superior closing speed over a 10-yard stretch.
59. CB/FS William Bartee, Oklahoma, 6-1, 192 (4.45):
Former safety who
projects to corner in a draft bereft of bigger players at that key
position. Effective in "press" coverage, loves to get up in a receiver's
face and bully him. Strong enough to do it, too. Not comfortable yet
playing in zone and off-man coverages.
60. SS/FS Mike Brown, Nebraska, 5-9 7/8, 204 (4.56):
Very smart and superb
awareness for the game. Those qualities and his top-notch character have
really moved him up draft boards in the league. A team leader who will get
everyone lined up before the play and is very decisive once the ball is
snapped. Always around the football, has superior, almost tailback-type
vision.