Rest of the AFC East: Colts | Dolphins | Jets | Patriots
1999 record: 11-5, second in the AFC East (wild card).
Last five years: 47-33.
Coach: Wade Phillips (21-13 in two years with Buffalo, 37-30 in four NFL seasons as a head coach).
Playoff past: The Bills are 12-13 in the postseason since the
merger and,
of course, are 0-4 in Super Bowls. But this is a franchise of remarkable consistency, having been in the playoffs 10 of the
past 12 seasons. In the decade of the '90s, Buffalo won four AFC East
championships and only twice in that period were the Bills a sub-.500 team. It's a club that is seemingly never out of postseason contention.
Outlook
They are adept at pushing all the right buttons in Buffalo, but rarely do
they ever reach for the one marked "Panic," and that won't change this
year. Having summarily jettisoned three future Hall of Fame members this
spring -- defensive end Bruce Smith, tailback Thurman Thomas and wide
receiver Andre Reed -- one might guess the Bills could be forced to take a
few steps back before moving forward again.
But don't bet on it.
In the Buffalo locker room after the shocking playoff defeat at Tennessee
last season, the loss coming on the controversial crossfield lateral by the
Titans, the veterans were amazingly calm, typifing the way
the businesslike Bills conduct themselves.
This remains one of the league's most stable franchises, a team that
includes a superb personnel department and terrific instructional coaching
staff, and because of that the Bills are never far from the playoff derby.
Last year, when we saw the Bills in training camp, we felt they were among
the deepest teams in the NFL. This year, that depth will be severely
tested, but it will also be abetted by a typically understated Buffalo
draft class.
In general manager John Butler, player personnel director Dwight Adams
and
pro personnel chief A.J. Smith, the Buffalo scouting department doesn't
feature guys who always find the spotlight. That's OK, because they
put their time to much better use finding players other staffs don't seem
to unearth. And if they don't always locate spectacular players, it seems
the Bills always draft spectacularly well.
Because of those drafts, but almost overnight and despite the departures
and defections of seven starters from the 1999 roster, the Bills have been
quietly remade. In a swift period -- actually over the past two seasons -- the
Buffalo roster has become startlingly young. This year, youth will be
served and will also be serviceable.
"I'm not big on predictions," said offensive tackle John Fina, one of the
few remaining holdovers from the Bills' glory days, when the team went to
four consecutive Super Bowl games. "When I look around, though, I see a
team that is going to win. And it's going to win for several years, because
there's a ton of young talent here."
Two-thirds of the 22 starters have come from the last three drafts or
from
trades made in that period. Buffalo doesn't sign veteran free agents,
preferring instead to build from within, and to nurture its own. This
year's team is reflective of that old-fashioned blueprint for constructing
a roster, and that is especially true on defense, where all but one
projected starter is home-grown. The only interloper, stout tackle Ted
Washington, acknowledged last week the lack of movement in Buffalo is "one
of the healthiest things" about the team.
Said the underrated Butler, who earned his stripes apprenticing under
former general manager Bill Polian, now the Indianapolis Colts
president: "It's become kind of passé for teams to build from within, but
we believe that still works. We're not out chasing everyone else's free
agents. We want to keep our own good people here. Yeah, it's cliché, but we
like that family atmosphere. We try to build on that."
There are some who claim that the drumming out of Smith, Thomas and Reed
this year was tantamount to an ugly divorce. But the Bills, facing salary
cap woes, made the tough decisions at the right times. And it's notable
that, so far in training camp, the players who have moved up into those
three spots have played at a high level.
Schedule preview: The Bills get an early chance at revenge against
Tennessee, playing host to the Titans in the season opener on Sept. 3, and you can
bet Buffalo won't allow any long laterals on kickoff returns in this game.
Three of the first four games, including matchups with Green Bay and
Indianapolis, are at home, so the Bills have a chance for a fast start in
friendly confines. The "bye" week comes on Sept. 24, after only three
games. The Bills finish with two of their final three games on the road,
both against 1999 playoff clubs.
1999 offensive ranking: No. 11 overall, No. 8 rushing, No. 19
passing.
1999 defensive ranking: No. 1 overall, No. 4 vs. the rush, No. 1 vs. the pass.
Key players lost from 1999: DE Bruce Smith (released), RB Thurman
Thomas
(released), WR Andre Reed (released), CB Thomas Smith (to Chicago), FS Kurt
Schulz (to Detroit), FB Sam Gash (released), OG Dusty Zeigler (to New York
Giants), WR Kevin Williams (released).
Key additions for 2000: None.
Rookies to watch: The Bills' typically productive draft could
produce two
starters and several other players who will be situational contributors. DE
Erik Flowers, the first-round choice, is a pure upfield rusher who might
start the season opener on the right side if veteran Marcellus Wiley isn't
recovered from a training camp injury. Don't be surprised if second-rounder
Travares Tillman wins the starting free safety job very early in the
season. Undersized linebacker Corey Moore (No. 3) is likely to play a lot
as an outside rusher on third down and latter picks Avion Black (kickoffs)
and Drew Haddad (punts) may comprise the Bills' return game in 2000.
Offensive line: The Bills caught a break this spring when the free
agent
market went soft on four-time Pro Bowl guard Ruben Brown and they were able
to retain their star leftside power blocker with a new seven-year contract.
Almost as notable was the extension granted Brown's partner, left tackle
John Fina. The pair works well together and provides stability. Still, the
best player on the Buffalo offensive front might be third-year veteran
right tackle Robert Hicks, a 340-pound monster who is just now discovering
how good he can be. Hicks buries defenders at the point of attack and his
feet are getting better in pass protection. If guard Joe Panos can bounce
back from a neck injury that sidelined him all of 1999, the line should be
very good.
Wide receivers/tight ends: In camp, fifth-year veteran Eric Moulds
is
demonstrating that he might be ready to position himself among the elite
wide receivers in the game. But the player who must deliver even more than
the sometimes enigmatic Moulds is second-year wideout Peerless Price. He
needn't quite play up to that suggestive first name, but must be more
consistent than he was in the first half of his '99 rookie campaign. Price
has deceptive deep speed but his hands have to get better. Tight end Jay
Riemersma doesn't run well but is suited to the Buffalo attack, a willing
but now powerful in-line blocker and superb "red zone" receiver.
Running backs: The release of fullback Sam Gash, so good as a
blocker that
he made the Pro Bowl last year despite logging zero rushing attempts,
signals that Bills offensive coordinator Joe Pendry will go with more
two-tight end formations and primarily use a one-back set. The Bills have
plenty of candidates in Antowain Smith, Jonathan Linton, Shawn Bryson and
rookie Sammy Morris. What they lack is a consistent, feature-type runner, a
guy whose performance isn't so up-and-down from one week to the next. Smith
is the most talented of the bunch. But don't be too surprised if Bryson,
who looked terrific in camp last year before sustained a season-ending knee
injury, emerges as the go-to guy.
Quarterbacks: The severe groin injury suffered last week by Doug
Flutie,
one that will keep him on the sideline the entire preseason, ended whatever
semblance of a quarterback controversy there was with this team. And,
frankly, there probably wasn't much of a battle anyway. The coaches decided
late last year that they needed to get more vertical in the passing game,
replaced Flutie with the younger and stronger-armed Rob Johnson, and are
casting their lot with him in 2000. Johnson is more mobile than people
think he is, throws the deep ball with impressive touch and will better
stretch defenses. Few people knew last year just how much Buffalo players
had turned on Flutie, who refused to ever accept culpability for the
offense's failures. Johnson is more their kind of guy, and they seem to have
embraced him.
Defensive line: You might be surprised to know that the veteran
who has
led all defensive ends in tackles over the last five seasons wasn't the one
who left Buffalo this spring, but the one who stayed. Phil Hansen might be
the best unknown player in the NFL and he proves it
annually. Even with Smith gone, he probably still won't get the credit he
deserves, but it won't bother him a bit. The massive Ted Washington is
coming off a down season, still is way too heavy, but can be an effective
plugger just with his girth alone. But look for young defensive tackle Pat
Williams, who was the third man in the rotation in '99, to make a big move.
Williams is active, can compress the pocket inside and uses his hands well.
Marcellus Wiley will replace Smith at right end, but rookie Erik Flowers is
being counted on to pressure the quarterback.
Linebackers: There might not be a better young pair of inside
linebackers
than Sam Cowart and John Holecek, but they are a bit overrated. Cowart runs
well and can drop into coverage, while Holecek gets by mainly on smarts.
But the man to watch for is second-year veteran Keith Newman, a little-used
player in '99 but a kid who impressed the team's veterans. Newman can be a
force on the blitz and should be a nice complement to strongside 'backer
Sam Rogers.
Secondary: Few fans thought much about it when veteran free safety
Kurt
Schulz departed for Detroit in free agency, but he may be the veteran
defector who is toughest to replace. Schulz called all the defensive
signals, made sure everyone was in the right place, showed better range
than people credited him with having. The starter at the beginning of the
year might be Manny Martin or Daryl Porter, but second-round pick Travares
Tillman will be No. 1 on the depth chart by midseason at the latest.
Second-year corner Antoine Winfield, who excelled as the "nickel" defender
in '99, moves in to replace solid cover corner Thomas Smith. Strong safety
Henry Jones has lost a step, no doubt, but still plays the run well enough.
Special teams: The long kickoff lateral the Titans used to flummox
the
Bills in the playoffs was the most notable special teams breakdown in '99,
but not the only one. After years of excellence, the Bills slipped
considerably and special teams coach Bruce DeHaven paid the price by being
fired. Kicker Steve Christie and punter Chris Mohr, who have served as the
Buffalo kick tandem for the last eight seasons, may be, pardon the pun, on
their last legs. The release of return man Kevin Williams means a change in
that area as well.