The rest of the NFC West: Panthers | Saints | Rams | 49ers
1999 record: 5-11, third place in NFC West.
Last five years: 38-42.
Coach: Dan Reeves (28-23 in three years with Atlanta; 177-136-1 in 19 NFL seasons overall as a head coach.)
Playoff past: The Falcons are 4-6 in postseason play since the
merger and some of the losses in the playoffs have been memorable ones.
Atlanta was defeated by Denver in Super Bowl XXXIII, but the most hurtful
setback for the team came in a 1980 playoff loss to Dallas. Regarded as a
legitimate Super Bowl threat that year, the Falcons led the Cowboys by 10
points with five minutes remaining, only to fall to a rally orchestrated by
Dallas QB Danny White. There are many Atlanta fans who view that as a
watershed defeat, the point from which fortunes went south for the team.
Notable is that Atlanta has never, in the 34 years of the franchise's
existence, posted consecutive winning seasons.
Outlook
Two years ago, when the Atlanta Falcons stunned the world and themselves
by advancing to Super Bowl XXXIII, the team probably wasn't as good as its
14-2 record, and even some of the key players from that ensemble will
concede that notion is well-grounded.
But Dan Reeves' club always played hard, followed the rudimentary tenets
annually espoused by the seventh winningest coach in NFL history, caught a
few breaks along the way and simply kept gaining confidence in itself and in
the belief they were a team of destiny as the victories piled up.
In '99, when the Falcons won only five games and slipped to third place
in a shabby division that underwent dramatic upheaval, the team probably
wasn't nearly as bad as its record. But the club always played hard, rarely
cursed the misfortune of losing its centerpiece player in just the second
game of the season, and maintained the mindset it was suddenly victimized by
the same football gods that smiled on Atlanta the previous season.
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| The Falcons' hopes for the season likely will depend on tailback Jamal Anderson's return from injury.(AP) | |
The truth about the 2000 Falcons probably lies somewhere in between the
Super Bowl glory of two seasons past and the ignominious plunge of 1999. But
the one constant in every Reeves team is that it will play hard, hang around
into the fourth quarter of most games and have a chance to pull out a
victory. That common denominator, the pursuit of a level of consistency that
does not waver from one Sunday to the next, is what could make the Falcons a
surprising "bounceback" club this year.
No one is predicting a return to the Super Bowl. A wild card spot, however, is entirely possible. Given the uneven
distribution of talent in the NFC West, it's conceivable Atlanta could
finish as high as second in the division. Nine wins certainly is a reachable
benchmark for this team.
"I don't think the winning attitude just evaporated last year," said
cornerback Ray Buchanan, a standout veteran whose 1999 slump mirrored that
of the team. "It's just that, when you lose your best player and then some
games get away from you, it's easy to get down. We never thought we were a
bad football team. But we felt snakebit at times, like, 'Hey, what's going
on here?' Right now, the feeling around here is that we can win again. We
might surprise some people."
Reeves coaches a style that, in a league diluted by free agency and
ineptitude, actually plays a lot better now than it did during his
successful tenure in Denver. The formula goes something like this: Run the
ball effectively. Stop the running game of the opposition. Throw the ball
vertically up the field, but off play-action flow that is in perfect concert
with the physical running game. On defense, take the ball away from the
other guy once in a while. Never allow the opponent to get out of reach, and
steal some victories in the fourth quarter.
The return from knee surgery of tailback Jamal Anderson, the human
battering ram, will permit the Falcons to establish and maintain offensive
tempo. Provided, that is, Anderson really is all the way back from the
surgery that sidelined him for the final 13 games of 1999 and which
continued to limit his work in training camp. Quarterback Chris Chandler is
at his best when the deep game at which he is so adept spins naturally from
the running attack. His deft touch on the long passes should be enhanced
with the addition of free agent wideout Shawn Jefferson.
Perhaps the biggest question marks concerning the Falcons are on both
sides of the line, with the offensive unit revamped largely by design and
the defensive front refurbished by necessity. The Falcons might have just
one starter, left tackle Bob Whitfield, back in the same offensive line spot
he played last season. On defense, there are two new ends, neither of whom
is very physical. The plus on the defensive side is the new cornerback
tandem of Buchanan and longtime best buddy Ashley Ambrose should allow
coordinator Rich Brooks to be much more creative in terms of blitzing.
This is probably a team of middle-level talent on paper. But Reeves,
despite his poor judgments in personnel acquisition, remains one of the
league's best game-day coaches and his clubs always are well prepared. This
time, he's hoping the Falcons are prepared to rebound from a disastrous
season and reassert themselves as a playoff contender.
Schedule preview: The Falcons get a gimme in the first week of
play, opening at home against the woeful 49ers, but then things get
considerably more difficult. In an early season stretch that will define how
improved a team this is in 2000, the Falcons play road games at Denver and
Carolina, come home to face St. Louis and then go back on the road to
Philadelphia. There also is a three-game road swing in November, at Detroit,
San Francisco and Oakland. The likelihood is Reeves will keep the team on
the West Coast between the San Francisco and Oakland games. There is a
three-game homestand in late October, but it includes a matchup with Tampa
Bay. The Falcons don't have their bye week until Dec. 10, after 14 games.
1999 offensive ranking: No. 27 overall, No. 30 rushing, No. 17
passing.
1999 defensive ranking: No. 16 overall, No. 29 vs. rush, No. 8 vs.
pass.
Key players lost from 1999: DE Chuck Smith (to Carolina), LB Craig
Sauer (to Minnesota), DE Lester Archambeau (to Denver), C Robbie Tobeck (to Seattle),
FS Eugene Robinson (unsigned), OG Gene Williams (unsigned), WR Chris
Calloway (released), OG Greg Bishop (retired), LB Ruffin Hamilton
(unsigned).
Key additions for 2000: CB Ashley Ambrose (Saints), WR Shawn
Jefferson (Patriots), DE Brady Smith (Saints), OG Anthony Redmon (Panthers),
RB Ron Rivers (Lions), OG Everett McIver (Cowboys), LB Marcus Buckley
(Giants).
Rookies to watch: If he had it to do all over again, it's doubtful
Reeves would give up his first-round pick in 2000 for an extra 1999
second-rounder that became tight end Reggie Kelly. Then again, his critics
might suggest Reeves picks so poorly in the first round anyway that not
having a No. 1 option was a blessing. The Falcons plucked at least three
players from this draft who could become eventual starters. One of them,
second-round offensive lineman Travis Claridge, might be the starting right
tackle immediately. In truth, though, fourth-round tackle Michael Thompson,
a workout warrior at the combine, might be the better athlete. Linebacker
Mark Simoneau, a third-round pick, is playing out of position on the strong
side, but seems to be holding his own. Look for undrafted free agent Maurice
Smith of North Carolina A&T, a power back in the Jamal Anderson mold, to
make the team. And keep an eye, too, on seventh-round corner Derrick Vaughn,
who has played well at times.
Offensive line: Still very much on the job despite a January
report by SportsLine.com that he had been fired, line coach and Hall of Fame
member Art Shell has a huge task this season. Unless right tackle Ephraim
Salaam can return from arthroscopic knee surgery in time for the opener, the
Falcons could have four new starters, with only left tackle Bob Whitfield in
the same spot as one year ago. The line's best performer by far, Whitfield still remains an enigma in
his ninth season. He has the physical tools to dominate and to be a
perennial Pro Bowl performer, but rarely plays up to his enormous potential.
He too often settles for ranking among the top half of left tackles in the
league instead of being one of the two or three best. Former left guard Calvin Collins moves to center this year to replace the
departed Robbie Tobeck and third-year pro Bob Hallen takes Collins' place.
Hallen is a solid player on the move but doesn't seem to fit the physical
in-line blocking the Falcons coaches prefer. The likely starter at right
guard is journeyman Anthony Redmon and, if Salaam isn't recovered in time,
rookie Travis Claridge could start at right tackle. Sometimes a great runner will elevate the play of a line unit and, should
Anderson be close to 100 percent, that is what might happen here. Shell will
need all his expertise to make this unit click.
Wide receivers/tight ends: The release last spring of wideout Tony
Martin took away the one deep threat the Falcons' passing game had,
the one player who forced enemy cornerbacks to begin backpedaling when
Atlanta broke the huddle. Atlanta hopes former New England wide receiver Shawn Jefferson can
restore the deep threat. But in nine seasons, Jefferson never has caught 50
passes or rung up 1,000 yards and, at age 31, he's beginning to have some
brittleness. The top player here is unheralded Terance Mathis, a wonderfully
precise wideout who operates well in the intermediate areas and possesses
occasional and deceptive deep speed. He is the master of the double-move
and, no matter the coverage, seems always able to find some space.
Third-year pro Tim Dwight is a mighty mite, a big play waiting to happen,
but his lack of size makes him a difficult target to find at times and also
prone to injury. Tight end O.J. Santiago has a ton of talent but has fallen into disfavor
with the staff. Second-year veteran Reggie Kelly, for whom Atlanta
surrendered its first-round pick in the 2000 draft, is a better in-line
blocker than people think. Look for the Falcons to use more two-tight end
sets in 2000. And look for little-known free agent Brian Finneran to become
the physical threat in the "red zone" the team lacked in past years.
Running backs: The offensive centerpiece is tailback Jamal
Anderson, and it is not hyperbole to suggest the fortunes of the Falcons
ride on how well he bounces back from knee surgery. During camp, he did not
practice twice on any day, and he wasn't scheduled to be in uniform until
the third preseason game. A big back with "little man's feet" in the scouting vernacular, Anderson
is capable of dominating a game. He is essential to the Falcons because he
can simply bleed time off the clock in the fourth quarter and permit Atlanta
to maintain even the skinniest of leads. He also has the softest hands of
any player on the team. Scatback Byron Hanspard is two years removed now from knee surgery of his
own, but still appeared tentative at times in preseason. Hanspard is the
perfect change-of-pace complement to Anderson when both are healthy. After a
steady diet of Anderson off-tackle, the Falcons like to run weak-side tosses
designed to get Hanspard outside, and he has enough speed to score from
anywhere on the field. Fullback Bob Christian doesn't get nearly the credit
he deserves. Although a bit undersized, he is a tenacious and technically
sound blocker and terrific receiver. Don't be surprised if rookie Maurice
Smith, an undrafted free agent from North Carolina A&T, sees some playing
time early in the year. Smith is a big back much like Anderson and can
pulverize tacklers.
Quarterbacks: He is often criticized for allegedly being injury
prone, but Chris Chandler has quietly become one of the game's most
respected passers. Few quarterbacks throw the deep pass with as much touch
as he does and even fewer prepare as well mentally. Chandler will benefit
this year not only from some on-field changes in the passing game but also
from the addition of close friend and mentor Jerry Rhome to the
coaching staff. Chandler has implicit faith in his old tutor and Rhome
provides a comfortable sounding board for the veteran. It appears as if Danny Kanell will win the No. 2 job, although
fourth-year veteran Tony Graziani remains in the hunt. Kanell
has been much improved in camp, also benefiting from Rhome's presence, and
seems to know the system much better now. The staff likes undrafted free
agent Doug Johnson of Florida and he could claim the No. 3 job.
Defensive line: The Falcons slipped all the way to No. 29 in
defense against the rush in 1999, after finishing second in the league
during their Super Bowl season, and injuries in the front four certainly
contributed mightily to that plummet. The improvement this year might depend
not only on maintaining good health but also on how new ends Patrick Kerney
and Brady Smith hold up. Longtime starters Chuck Smith and Lester Archambeau
both departed in free agency, leaving the
Falcons considerably smaller up front. Kerney has bulked up a bit but
Smith, who will play the right side, is a 260-pounder. Count on opposing
offenses trying early on to run directly at the Atlanta flanks. Left tackle Travis Hall is one of the league's best at his position when
healthy. But he has been beaten up each of the past two seasons and in '99
played much of the year with just one good arm. Journeyman Ed Jasper,
plucked off the street last spring, is challenging incumbent Shane Dronett
for the right tackle spot. No matter who wins the starting job, the Falcons
have a solid, three-man rotation. It wouldn't be surprising, given the lack
of bulk, if Hall moved out and played end at times on early downs.
Linebackers: The master of this domain remains perennial Pro Bowl
performer Jessie Tuggle, still a solid run stopper. But this could be the
season in which weak-side 'backer Keith Brooking becomes a force. Because of the losses on the front four, coordinator Rich Brooks probably
will have to blitz more, and that likely translates into some forays into
the backfield for Brooking. An active player who too often runs around
blocks rather than taking them on and shedding them, the former
first-rounder is a terrific player in coverage and possesses rare quickness. Strong-side linebacker, Henri Crockett, finally looks healthy after
battling knee problems for two seasons. He is a big hitter, probably better
suited to playing inside, and another active player. Tuggle is just now
beginning to slow a bit at age 35, and he makes more tackles three yards up the
field than at the line of scrimmage. He probably has two more solid years
left, however, before he retires. Young Jeff Kelly played well in spots last year and is the heir apparent
to Tuggle's job. Third-round pick Mark Simoneau should also see playing
time.
Secondary: If the talkative Ray Buchanan can bounce back to his
'98 form and free-agent signee Ashley Ambrose repeats the '99 performance he
had in New Orleans, the Falcons should have one of the top cornerback
tandems in the league. The pair's single-cover abilities will allow the
staff to be a lot more exotic than the past couple seasons when zone was the
choice most of the time in the secondary. Both corners will gamble from time
to time, but they make plays, can burst to the ball and can erase receivers
entirely. Former starting corner Ronnie Bradford, who plays by the book more than
with instincts, moves to free safety. The strong safety, Marty Carter, is a
tackling machine who is more like a linebacker, but worked hard this
offseason to improve his cover skills. Former first-round pick Michael
Booker is in a battle for the nickel job and also for his career. Young
veteran Eli Williams will see time in the nickel and versatile Gerald
McBurrows always seems to make something happen when he is on the field.
Special teams: The kamikaze style of return man Tim Dwight
occasionally gets him beaten up but also makes him one of the premier
specialists in the league. It will be interesting to see, given his enhanced
role in the passing game, how much Dwight is used on returns in 2000. But
the staff knows his aggressiveness in attacking coverage units is hard to
replace and that he can affect field position with his runbacks. The kicking game is very solid with longtime veterans Morten Andersen and
Dan Stryzinski. The former is a future Hall of Fame member, arguably the top
clutch placement specialist in league history. While his leg strength isn't
what it was a few years ago, Andersen remains a guy you want lined up over
the ball in the final minute and facing a 50-yarder. Stryzinski is the NFL's
best directional punter and his style virtually eliminates most returns. The
only problem is Stryzinski can rarely kick a team out of trouble when it is
backed up against its own goal line.