Zack's Past Picks
Jamal Murray has been in the spotlight in Denver’s second round series against the Timberwolves for all the wrong reasons. Poor play overall has led to the belief that he is still hurting with his calf. He also had the incident that resulted in a $100,000 fine. Yet, with three days off in between game two look for Murray to step up in a big way. Take his over.
Denver heads to Minnesota for game three in a heap of trouble. They were blown out at home in game two, and now find themselves attempting the impossible. This series is likely going to go the Timberwolves way, but I look for the defending champs to put together a better effort tonight. With three days off since game two, take the points with Denver.
On the season the St. Louis Cardinals are 0-4 against the Milwaukee Brewers. This includes losing yesterday as road favorites with Sonny Gray on the mound. Tonight, look for the Cardinals to finally break through as they will see a rookie pitcher for the Brewers in Robert Gasser. Take St. Louis to end their five game losing streak.
Surprisingly, the Chicago White Sox have been playing above .500 baseball over their last thirteen games with a 7-6 record. Today they find themselves as the home favorite over division leader in the Cleveland Guardians. Look for Garrett Crochet to build off his second win of the season, and minimize damage against a Guardians team that went scoreless yesterday.
One of the biggest beneficiaries of the Knicks being without OG Anunoby figures to be Pascal Siakam. He should be able to move more freely off the dribble, and use his length to score. Siakam has scored below twenty points in six straight postseason games. With the Pacers down two games to the Knicks look for Siakam to leave it all on the floor.
In game one Nembhard had his moments but played a postseason low twenty nine minutes. That’s more in line with his regular season average, and I expect Rick Carlisle to continue to utilize his bench depth. That is a one sided advantage to the Pacers with how thin the Knicks are. Look for Nembhard’s postseason scoring average which is four points higher than the regular season to taper off tonight. Take his under
A very low total is offered today between the Cubs and Padres. Both pitchers have exceptional ERA’s in Dylan Cease whose road ERA is 1.75. For the Cubs Hayden Wesneski is coming off a six inning gem against the Brewers without allowing a run. When Wesneski entered this territory of innings pitched last year, he struggled to perform. Take the over on runs here.
After a full week off the Oklahoma City Thunder’s offense may have issues against an improved Dallas Mavericks defense. One player that I do not expect to suffer is Jalen Williams. He has an arsenal of moves that are going to give this Mavericks team problems game to game. He quietly averaged 21 in their last series against the Pelicans, and I expect that to be boosted in round two. Take his game one over.
Throughout the Celtics postseason runs over the years, Al Horford has been one of my top postseason prop players. Four to 5 games in the postseason I’ll attack, and here in game one figures to be a good spot. You have the Cleveland Cavaliers off a quick turn around from their game seven Sunday win. Their defense may be a step slow on the non main option Celtics players. Horford also needs to relish his old role postseason role with Porzingis hurt. Take his over.
Tuesday, the Guardians will aim to take game two over the Detroit Tigers after yesterday 2-1 victory. On the mound, Logan Allen will see a divisional opponent for just the second time this season. Look for Allen to minimize the Tigers lineup from a big inning of scoring, and for the Guardians to secure their fourth straight win. Take the Guardians.
Denver is going to have their difficulties against the Minnesota Timberwolves, but game two I believe goes there way convincingly. For as mediocre as Denver played in game one, they still had the lead for stages and had a chance to win late. Expect Denver to have better team balance and get more shots for Aaron Gordon, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, and their star guard Jamal Murray. Play the Nuggets on the spread.
Expect Myles Turner to be a key for the Pacers in game one right off the bat. In the final two games of their prior series against the Bucks he scored just thirteen and five points. Indiana needs Turner’s offense and was a catalyst in the regular season in two wins over the Knicks. One performance he scored 28 and the other he had his only flawless game from the field, going 9 for 9. Take his over
This spread in game one is a bit high in my opinion. We have the Knicks coming off a physical series against Philadelphia, to now facing a team that plays with tempo in Indiana. Indiana has the better overall depth that could test the Knicks, and they won two of the three regular season matchups. The lone loss was by just four points. Take the Pacers on a generous second round spread.
Today should be a solid Sunday night baseball game, with opportunities to be had in the prop market. Taiquan Walker in his season debut last week gave up eight hits, including several off his sinker pitch. Chapman has had a cool bat in terms of power but did have a mid to late April stretch where he doubled in five of seven games. He ends his ten game streak without a double or home run today against the Phillies.
The price continues to rapidly rise on the Atlanta Braves today against the Dodgers. I do not expect Max Fried to continue to be flawless as he has his last two starts against the Marlins and Mariners. Atlanta’s success more so today will come against Dodgers pitcher James Paxton who is struggling with walks. Sixteen total walks over his last three starts, and surrendered four runs in his last outing to the Dbacks. Take the Braves