Think you guys know me. If I'm getting a team at essentially the same price at home +1.5 as the (perhaps) only slightly better visiting team's moneyline price, I'm taking it every day. Feels like such a letdown for the Astros off a big series at the Yankees and all their key relievers did pitch a fair amount Thursday. Not saying not available tonight but may be a factor. Detroit was off Thursday. The issue always with the Tigers if they will hit enough. Why I often don't play them straight up. Former No.1 overall pick Casey Mize has a 3.27 home ERA. Very fine on this solo but will personally play with alt Under 9.5 (love that) at a price of +160.

This number is simply way too low for Framber Valdez, especially in what I consider a plus matchup. All of Framber's numbers have dipped this season but his K metrics check out and he's run cold so far in that department. Valdez is averaging the 2nd highest CSW% of his seven year career. If Valdez gets in 5+ IP today, I love his chances of eclipsing 5+ Ks.