A basic approach to "totals" is that teams having trouble scoring runs are more likely to land on the "under" side. Best of all, it doesn't require Einstein to come to that conclusion, which the Pirates have reminded us constantly the past few weeks as they struggle mightily at the plate. Prior to Sunday's 5-3 win over the Rockies, Pittsburgh had gone "under" 13-1 across its preceding fourteen games, and has scored just 17 runs across its preceding nine games. Indeed, this looks like an offense that Halos starter Tyler Anderson (2.33 ERA), and the sometimes-maligned Angels bullpen, can handle. Meanwhile, the Halos have been held to exactly one run in three of their past four games. Play Angels-Pirates "Under"

Tyler Anderson hasn't given up more than three runs in any game this year, but a 4.77 xERA vs. a 2.23 ERA and his .194 BABIP tells you how fortunate he's been to avoid a meltdown so far. It could come today against the Pirates, a team with a poor offense that actually turns into an above-average unit (106 OPS+) against lefties. If Anderson continues to struggle with walks, a lineup that's solid against southpaws is going to eventually chase him early once batted balls start falling. The Angels have used just two relievers in each of their last two games as well, so there should be no issue going to the 'pen as early as needed.