Let’s play against Charlie Morton who gets eaten up by lefties….aka Freeman and Showtime

Ozzie Albies has a 14-game hitting streak going, and he's gotten 2+ bases 11 times in that stretch with eight doubles and three other two-hit games. He gets to face a pitcher in Gavin Stone with massive righty/lefty splits, holding the former to a .504 OPS (59 PAs) while the latter lights him up for a .923 OPS (50 PAs). That's good news for the switch-hitting Albies, who owns an .895 OPS against righties this year. We shouldn't be getting plus odds here.

Freddie Freeman has hit just two home runs in 120 at-bats this season. He usually has big games after a day off because he's a student of the game and puts in a lot of work. Freeman is batting .500 with three home runs and 7 RBI in 20 career at-bats against Morton. I also like Freeman Over 1.5 hits + runs + RBI at -115. Dodgers have playoff revenge in this series.

We've laid out how Freeman owns Morton. We know Freeman was a 50+ doubles monster last year and how he has found gaps throughout his entire career and he's starting to get going again in that regard. In 11 times seeing Morton since the start of 2020, Freeman has 7 hits, including 2 HRs and 2 Doubles and some sharp lineouts. Morton either strikes him out, or he hits the ball hard somewhere, often out of the park

Freeman owns Charlie Morton going 10/20 off him with three bombs. Freeman has just 2 HRs - hence the value - but one came the other night and he loves hitting in this park. Facing the Braves brings out the best in him, and he still gets up for these meetings. Low fence at Dodger Stadium means line drive lasers can leave the yard. Freddie is overdue for a power surge and we are getting value here because Morton has been very good at keeping the ball in the yard (HR% and FB% well below league average), but this has been a horrible matchup for him and I think Freeman is in his head

I played the Dodgers (-105) on Superbook. I make LA 55 percent winners, which implies this line should be -122. 40-year old Charlie Morton is vulnerable to left-handed hitters, and the Dodgers have a few of the best in the game. Back the Dodgers as short home favorites.