The Twins have won 10 straight, and because of it, I think this money line is skewed. Those 10 wins were all against the White Sox and Angels, so be sure not to overrate them. The pitching matchup strongly favors the Red Sox, who are -125 on the F5 line, as Chris Paddack has pitched poorly aside from a gem against the lowly White Sox while Tanner Houck owns a 1.60 ERA and 41:5 K:BB ratio, allowing more than half of his earned runs this year in a single start. The Red Sox have won four of their last five and are 11-5 on the road, so I think this ML should be more of a 50/50 proposition at worst for Boston.

I've been impressed with the consistency of Tanner Houck, who is just one out shy of going at least six innings in each of his starts this year. Moreover, I'm impressed when I look back at his year over year stats and see how he's kept nearly a 13% swinging strike rate in four straight seasons now. This year, he's looked the best I've seen him, and Minnesota was one of the worst teams for strikeouts in the early going but since April 22nd they've played only the White Sox and Angels, leading to much more offensive output and a decrease in strikeouts. I think this is a spot where they regress back and I'm happy get the 5.5 line again on Houck!

The Twins have won 10 in row - but all are vs the Pale Hose and Halos, who suck. 7 of them are against the South Siders. And most of them were tough wins. Yuck. MIN lineup still has holes and Buxton banged up again and Chris Paddack has been getting blasted, allowing 17 ER in 19 IP vs everyone but the White Sox. BOS keeps overcoming injuries, they fight for ABs and Tanner Houck has been filthy for them is a major step up in the stuff department from what the Twins have faced the past two weeks.